3 years agoToronto Blue Jays outfielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. had fantasy managers concerned early in 2021 but turned it around from June onward. He finished with a .276 batting average, 21 HRs, 84 RBI, 62 runs, and one stolen base over 141 games. Gurriel Jr.'s Statcast data was decent, placing in the 61st percentile for Barrel%, 65th percentile for HardHit%, and 75th percentile for max exit velocity. It wouldn't be unusual if these improved next season after a huge September in which he barreled balls 19.7% of the time and posted better or similar marks previously in his career. The Rogers Centre should play up Gurriel Jr.'s power, ranking as a top-two home run park two of the past three seasons. His strikeout rate decreased to 18.9%, but after inadequate discipline (37.3 O-Swing%, 27.6 CSW%), the rate should be back above 20%. Nonetheless, his BABIP was .305, the lowest of his four seasons, and his career .266 xBA with a 20.2 K% gives a good idea of how he'll hit moving forward. After trying to steal four bases in a short 2020, the native of Cuba only attempted three last season, successful once, and his once 75th percentile sprint speed was in the 41st during 2021. However, Gurriel Jr. will be in the middle of a loaded Blue Jays lineup, so 80 RBI and runs should be easy to attain. His ADP is 140, a good price for the kind of offense he'll provide, especially with Myles Straw, who's exclusively a base stealer and run-scorer, going around pick 127.--Spencer Seguin