Justice Hill 2019 Outlook: Lightning in Baltimore
6 years agoWith the addition of Mark Ingram to a running backs room which already had Kenneth Dixon and Gus Edwards, being drafted in Baltimore doesn’t at first look too appealing for Justice Hill admirers. Despite this, he could just flourish with the Ravens this season.
Edwards was fine last season and he got the job done for a while. However, he was also an undrafted free agent who was only getting work because he was the next man up. After Lamar Jackson came in at quarterback the Edwards experiment petered out. That was despite the Ravens running the ball 101 more times and for 600 more yards than any team in the NFL after his insertion into the lineup. Kenneth Dixon is solid, but he cannot seem to stay healthy and if Alex Collins had not been released for off-field reasons this offseason it may have been Dixon who went.
Mark Ingram is a good running back. When he Is in a committee with someone else. He is a great compliment to a smaller back like he was in New Orleans with Alvin Kamara. At 5’10 and 200 pounds, Hill is the type of player Ingram will work well with as both will have a role and know what it is.
Coming from playing at Oklahoma State, a high flying offense the perception is Hill was not a good back. Oklahoma State though uses their backs quite frequently as shown in the numbers for Hill in 2018. He averaged 15.8 rushes per game in his final season and also caught 13 passes. These numbers are solid for only 10 games played. In his true breakout season of 2017, he rushed 268 times for 1,467 yards and 15 touchdowns. He also managed 31 receptions in those 13 games.
We are not expecting these numbers to directly translate to the NFL, but it does show his ability and why the Ravens drafted him. Hill gives them the perfect lightning to the thunder of Ingram. Are the two backs going to finish number four and six in fantasy like Kamara and Ingram did in 2017? No, but no one expects them to either.
In drafts, Mark Ingram is still the one to own. But by mid-season Justice Hill could also be a weekly winner for you. He is worth a draft pick in the 10th round area and if you need to reach a round higher then that is fine. He is not a handcuff and will have value no matter how Ingram performs. This is the type of player you want to take as a late-round flier, as he can create his own success. He does not have to wait for an injury to occur before having value. Therefore, go get him and be patient. If an injury does occur? Well, then he could end up being a top 20 back for you.