Welcome back to another edition of RotoBaller's NBA Props! There are six games on the schedule this evening, highlighted by a featured battle between Western Conference contenders Houston and Denver.
Five of the twelve teams will be playing on the second leg of a back-to-back, so they have not yet released their injury reports. Of the teams that have already reported, Utah has multiple impactful injuries, while Jarrett Allen and Anthony Black are significant players who have been ruled out in the first game of the evening.
In this article, I will provide my favorite NBA player props picks for Wednesday, March 11th. Prop picks can range from individual stats, such as points, assists, rebounds, three-pointers made, and defensive statistics, to combination props (Points + Rebounds + Assists = PRA). All odds and sportsbooks used are listed, but it's always a good idea to shop around, as odds change throughout the day as bets are placed. Alright, let's get to the picks already!
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When I sort our NBA prop projections by the best value on UNDERS tonight, I see Keyonte George pop up several times, so he makes the cut tonight.
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Today’s Best NBA Picks for Player Props
Let’s take a look at the top player props for today’s NBA slate:
- Dejounte Murray over 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
- Darius Garland over 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
- Reed Sheppard over 14.5 Points
- Landry Shamet over 9.5 Points
- Moussa Diabate over 18.5 Points + Rebounds
- Keyonte George UNDER 7.5 Rebounds + Assists
Dejounte Murray over 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120 Bet365)
Pelicans point guard Dejounte Murray is still building up to full strength this season, but he appears to be nearly there. He played just 24 minutes in the last game, but that was due to the lopsided score more than any minutes restriction. He played 28 minutes and just shy of 30 minutes in the two games before that, and tonight he has a chance to play more than 30 minutes for the first time this season. Over his last five games, Murray is averaging 28.3 PRA, clearing 26.5 in each of them despite averaging just 26 minutes per game.
The matchup against Toronto is a difficult one, but New Orleans has a significant rest advantage after last playing on Sunday. Toronto, on the other hand, played last night in Houston before traveling to New Orleans.
Darius Garland over 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110 DraftKings)
Clippers' new addition Darius Garland is all set to play his 5th game for the team, and it appears he's nearly back to full strength. He topped 30 minutes for the first time since returning from injury in his last game after playing 26 minutes in his first start the game before that. Over those two contests, he averaged a healthy 22.0 points, 2.5 rebounds, and 6.5 assists (31 PRA).
This is what Darius Garland can do for the Clippers.
Knifes his way into the lane and finds the open shooter.
He is looking VERY shifty out there. pic.twitter.com/0RH9Qnpcvp
— Grant "Money" Mona (@Gmona48) March 10, 2026
Tonight's matchup is a difficult one, but the Clippers have the rest advantage after Minnesota played the Lakers last night. Garland should play at least 30 minutes again, while continuing to increase his production as he gets more familiar with his new team.
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Top NBA Value Picks and Sleeper Props
Betting on superstars is always exciting, but the best value often lies in the margins of a roster. Role players and emerging contributors can offer hidden edges, especially as the season wears on and injuries start to shake up rotations. We don't want to wager only on superstars; often, role players and lesser-known players may offer the best markets.
Let’s dive into some of the top value plays for today’s NBA slate.
Reed Sheppard over 14.5 Points (-106 FanDuel)
Before last night's game, Houston guard Reed Sheppard had been on an incredible run. Across his last seven games, he averaged 35.6 minutes and 20.7 points. Last night, he had a bit of a setback in a tough matchup against Toronto, finishing with just seven points on 2-of-10 shooting in less than 24 minutes of playing time.
Reed Sheppard is a HOOPER! 🗣️
Despite the loss, Sheppard showed why he needs more opportunities moving forward.
The Kentucky product finished with 30 points and 6 dimes.@ChandlerParsons pic.twitter.com/hJwQ3ckmZm
— Run It Back (@RunItBackFDTV) March 6, 2026
Despite the rough outing, tonight is a good spot to back him for a bounce-back. Dorian Finney-Smith has not played a back-to-back all season, and he should rest again tonight. That would open up additional playing time for Sheppard. Jabari Smith Jr. also rested on the last back-to-back, and if he sits, Sheppard would potentially slide back into the starting lineup and play more than 30 minutes.
Landry Shamet over 9.5 Points (-116 DraftKings), (-120 NOVIG)
New York wing Landry Shamet has settled into a significant role off the bench this season, generally playing minutes in the mid-20s. In 11 games since his last start, he's averaged 11.3 points per game and cleared 9.5 points eight times.
Tonight, he gets the best possible matchup against a Utah team that plays at the third-fastest pace, ranks 29th in defensive efficiency, and has allowed the most points per game in basketball this season.
Moussa Diabate over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-112 Bet365)
Charlotte really took off as a team when Moussa Diabate took over the starting center job. In 30 games since then, the big man is averaging 8.7 points and 9.7 rebounds (18.4 PRA), but there are reasons to believe he can surpass those averages in this spot.
Tonight's matchup lines up well with Diabate's strengths. Sacramento ranks 28th in defensive efficiency and allows the fourth-most points in the paint, where Diabate scores more than 77% of his points. They are also a below-average rebounding team, ranking 19th in rebounds allowed.
Keyonte George UNDER 7.5 Rebounds + Assists (+102 FanDuel)
The Jazz are a real blowout risk tonight at home against the Knicks. They finally won a game on Sunday against the Warriors, snapping a 9-game losing streak.
The Knicks defense is pretty solid, and George doesn't have much help out there with him, as Utah has shut down all their other starters this season. He's gone under this number in six straight games, and the potential that he might not play the fourth quarter in a lopsided loss makes this bet a real value in my opinion.
NBA Betting Tools and Resources
Don't forget to utilize all of the NBA DFS and betting tools we have here at RotoBaller! The NBA betting landscape changes by the minute throughout the day, so stay up to date with the latest odds and market values with our NBA DFS and betting tools and projections.
- NBA Betting Props Finder Tool
- NBA PrizePicks Props Finder Tool
- NBA Sleeper Props Finder Tool
- NBA Betting Picks Tool
- DFS Matchup Ratings and Projections
- NBA Injury Report
Thanks for reading, RotoBallers, and good luck if you are tailing our bets tonight!
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