Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers and Targets List

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Back by popular demand in 2017... RotoBaller has brought back for the MLB season our Ultimate 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers & Waiver Wire Pickups List. 

Our team of MLB enthusiasts and fantasy baseball analysts follow baseball all day, during the offseason and especially during the season. We recommend players for you to consider as 2017 draft sleepers, ADP values, or hot pickups off the waiver wire - every single day of the fantasy baseball preseason and season.

If you like draft values and sleepers, also check out the 2017 fantasy baseball rankings hub. Our new Rankings Assistant Tool combines all our ranks in one place - tiers, points leagues, top prospects, dynasty ranks, and more. Now let's win some leagues!

iPhone Fantasy Baseball App - Waiver Wire PickupsAndroid Fantasy Baseball App - Waiver Wire PickupsPrefer using your phone? Download our famous Sleepers & Waiver Wire app. It's free, and available in the Apple & Android Stores.

 

 

2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers by MLB Position

ALL - C - 1B - 2B - SS - 3B - OF - SP - RP

 

Max Kepler (OF, MIN) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~210 CURRENT ADP: 234 ANALYSIS: Max Kepler burst onto the scene last season, smashing 17 home runs in only 113 games with the Twins. There are still some holes in his approach, but at 24 years of age, there is room for growth. Kepler had stretches of good and bad play; in April and September, he hit .202 with only one homer. Between his recall on June 1 and the final day of August, though, he hit .247 with 16 home runs in 335 plate appearances....continue reading

Jorge Soler (OF, KC) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~265 CURRENT ADP: 294 ANALYSIS: After an exciting start to his career back in 2014, Jorge Soler has not lived up to the expectations of Cubs fans. Between his injuries and blown opportunities, he was never able to pull everything together. Soler was traded to the Royals for closer Wade Davis this offseason, and is expected to get a full-time job for the first time in his career. He only hit .238/.333/.436 with the Cubs last season, but he did hit much better...continue reading

Jarrod Dyson (OF, SEA) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~200 CURRENT ADP: 220 ANALYSIS: Jarrod Dyson was dealt to the Mariners this offseason after seven seasons with Kansas City. Over that span, Dyson played in only 550 games (an average of about 79 per season), and stole 176 bases. Despite a part-time role, he still finished with 30 steals in four of the past five seasons. Dyson is 32 years old, but his legs will be fresher than most players his age thanks to the lack of wear and tear throughout his career. He is...continue reading

Joe Musgrove (SP, HOU) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~260 CURRENT ADP: ~298 ANALYSIS: Musgrove made his MLB debut last year out of the bullpen, striking out eight over 4.1 innings. In his first start he threw seven innings, allowing one earned run with six strikeouts and no walks. His biggest asset has always been his control; from Double-A on through the minors he never had a BB/9 higher than 1.20, and in the majors last season it was only 2.32. Despite his eight-strikeout debut, Musgrove hasn’t been known to be a big strikeout pitcher throughout his minor league...continue reading

Logan Forsythe (2B, LAD) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers & Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~165 CURRENT ADP: ~195 ANALYSIS: When the Twins refused to accept Jose De Leon as the sole piece in the return on a Brian Dozier, the Dodgers sent DeLeon to Tampa Bay instead. Minnesota’s loss is Forsythe’s (and his fantasy owners’) gain. While he obviously hasn’t posted the raw numbers that Dozier has, they’re quite similar in many ways. Now, Forsythe will get the chance to show what he can do in a much better lineup. And even though Dodger Stadium isn’t...continue reading

C.J Cron (1B/DH, LAA) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers & Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~210 CURRENT ADP: ~240 ANALYSIS: It’s easy for lower-tier first basemen to get overshadowed in fantasy baseball, with the position being the home of mashers like Paul Goldschmidt and Mark Trumbo. Cron is one of those players – he’s shown consistency and a good amount of power in his first three years in the bigs, but not enough to generate much fantasy buzz. As he enters his age-27 season, however, things look like they could start to turn for the Angels’ first baseman. Cron...continue reading

David Peralta (OF, ARI) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers & Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~235 CURRENT ADP: ~273 ANALYSIS: He's having decent spring, hitting .265 in 17 games, with two HR and 11 RBI. Most importantly, he's healthy and ready to man right field on an everyday basis. Last year was a lost cause for Peralta after numerous back and wrist injuries limited him to 48 ineffective games. As a result, he's a forgotten man on a team where A.J. Pollock and Paul Goldschmidt shine. Don't forget that Peralta hit well above .300 in his minor-league career and...continue reading

Shin-Soo Choo (OF, TEX) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers & Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~227 CURRENT ADP: ~288 ANALYSIS: You might not know it by his innocent .242/.357/.399 triple slash from 2016, but Choo really smoked the ball – when he was on the field. In only 48 games, 210 plate appearances, the 34-year-old clubbed seven homers with six steals with a gaudy 43.2% hard-hit rate. While this figure likely would’ve fallen with more playing time, it’s still notable that…well, nothing notable happened. His HR/FB rate remained at a usual 17.5%, his ISO was an unimpressive .157 and his BABIP was a career-low...continue reading

Domingo Santana (OF, MIL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers & Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~195 CURRENT ADP: ~263 ANALYSIS: Santana’s 43.7% hard-hit rate checked in as the 10th best in the MLB for the month of September, with the three names surrounding him being David Ortiz, Nolan Arenado and Nelson Cruz. His 27.3% line-drive rate wasn’t so bad either, though it actually was lower than his overall 30.1% mark on the season. While his 32.4% strikeout rate looms large, he actually brought his swinging-strike rate down from 14.5% in 2015 to 12.1%. This doesn’t mean he’s on...continue reading

Brandon Drury (2B/3B/OF, ARI) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~225 CURRENT ADP: ~263 ANALYSIS: Drury opened the season with some flash by hitting four homers each in April and May with respective batting averages of .294 and .283, but then dealt with some injuries and didn’t have an everyday job in a crowded Arizona lineup. He will now hold down the keystone position in hitter-friendly Chase Field, largely thanks to a wild September that saw him slash .357/.417/.633 – making him one of 11 hitters to slug over .630 in the month. Now, if the 24-year-old can roll that...continue reading

Daniel Norris (SP, DET) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~230 CURRENT ADP: ~287 ANALYSIS: When exploring September pitching numbers, Norris is a more surprising name. He posted a 24.6 percent K-BB rate, seventh best in the MLB, thanks to a 31.2 percent strikeout rate that came in fifth. Above Jose Fernandez (RIP), above Noah Syndergaard and above Corey Kluber. He only allowed a .219 batting average against despite an acceptable .282 BABIP, though he did allow five homers in his 29 2/3 innings of work. While Norris has to deal with his own...continue reading

James Paxton (SP, SEA) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~154 CURRENT ADP: ~175 ANALYSIS: You know him, you love him and you’re ready for him to truly break out. Paxton battled through a couple of injuries to come back and carry fantasy owners to championships with his 29.2% strikeout rate and minuscule 3.3 percent BB rate (25.8 percent K-BB rate was fifth best in the MLB) that led to the third-best FIP (2.06) of the month. If J-Pax is able to stay on the mound and deliver at least 180 innings in 2017 then he could flirt with...continue reading

Francisco Liriano (SP, TOR) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~243 CURRENT ADP: ~315 ANALYSIS: Say what you want about the importance of pitch-framing and catcher ERA, but make no mistake that Liriano has done well pitching to Russell Martin. In 248 career innings pitching to Martin, he has a 2.94 ERA, 9.2k/9 and an OPS against of .621. Last year, he pitched more than two innings to five catchers. He had a 3.04 ERA and 9.3k/9 with Martin; he had ERAs of 5.97, 5.52, 5.02, and 4.58 with the other catchers. Reunited with Martin in...continue reading

Garrett Richards (SP, ANA) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~185 CURRENT ADP: ~212 ANALYSIS: While the numbers have not been pretty for Garrett Richards this spring, the number that matters the most stands out -- his velocity. Richards was able to get his fastball up to 98.8 mph in a spring game last week, according to Jeff Fletcher of the Orange County Register. While this is an encouraging sign for the young right-hander, Richards still has some work to do. Richards' 3.89 BB/9 ratio will need to come down more toward his 2013/2014 levels (2.72)...continue reading

Neftali Feliz (RP, MIL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~190 CURRENT ADP: ~222 ANALYSIS: The former closer has had an up-and-down career since 2014 so he will look for consistency in 2017 as the best candidate to close down wins for the Milwaukee Brewers. Entering the season under a rebuilding phase, the Brewers may trade Feliz if his value warrants a desire by other teams over the course of the season. Feliz is a reliable pick for a 3rd closer as long as he stays on the Brewers. At his current draft day cost, he can return nice value for...continue reading

Brandon Kintzler (RP, MIN) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~200 CURRENT ADP: ~248 ANALYSIS: The Minnesota Twins are slowly developing pieces for the future. A secure spot on the roster appears to be closer Brandon Kintzler. While he pitched to a 3.15 ERA with just 17 saves, his job appears to be secure. Former closer Glen Perkins is recovering from a significant injury so his likelihood to be ready for the start of the season is slim. Until Perkins proves he's healthy and capable of progressing to high leverage situations, Kintzler...continue reading

Cam Bedrosian (RP, ANA) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~190 CURRENT ADP: ~210 ANALYSIS: The son of a legendary closer that won a Cy-Young Award, Cam Bedrosian could very well have the Angels closer gig sealed up by the end of spring training. After his call up last year, he threw 40.1 innings in which he earned a 1.12 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP, along with an 11.38 K/9. Huston Street is still owed salary, but no amount of money should keep a man in a closer role after suffering through a 6.45 ERA and...continue reading

Cody Bellinger (1B, LAD) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~400 CURRENT ADP: 461 ANALYSIS: A former fourth-round pick in the 2013 draft, Cody Bellinger has now become a top-10 prospect in MLB. The 21-year-old hit 29 HR with eight steals across three levels of the minor leagues in 2016, after demolishing High-A ball (30 HR, 10 SB) the previous season. He has only played three games at the Triple-A level, but in those three game he jacked three bombs. The 6-foot-4 lefty is currently blocked by the great Adrian Gonzalez at first base,...continue reading

Tommy Joseph (1B, PHI) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~190 CURRENT ADP: 214 ANALYSIS: Tommy Joseph exploded onto the fantasy baseball scene during his rookie season in 2016 by smacking 21 HR with a monstrous .248 ISO, both ranking third among rookies. His PA:HR ratio (16.5:1) was actually better than that of Edwin Encarnacion, who led the position with 42 HR. The kid can rake. But unfortunately, that is all he has shown the ability to do thus far. Joseph has never been known to hit for a high average consistently, and seems...continue reading

Justin Bour (1B, MIA) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~270 CURRENT ADP: 302 ANALYSIS: Justin Bour was a popular low-end sleeper pick heading into the 2016 season, and he was certainly on his way to proving that to be true heading into July. In just three months he had racked up 15 HR, 46 RBI and a .873 OPS. The excitement came to an immediate halt, however, after a sprained ankle on July 2 led to a stint on the 60-day DL. Bour finally returned in September, but was noticeably not in his first half form, and failed...continue reading

Mike Zunino (C, SEA) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~265 CURRENT ADP: 280 ANALYSIS: The Mariners aggressively promoted Mike Zunino, whom they drafted in the first round in 2012, pushing him to the bigs by 2013 after just 96 minor league games. He has been taking the trial-by-fire path to fantasy relevance, and it really hasn’t been pretty most of the time. Fantasy owners have shuddered at his batting average, which was as low as .174 in 2015, but he’s always held some intrigue as a home run hitter and is still only 25 years...continue reading

Cameron Rupp (C, PHI) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~225 CURRENT ADP: 243 ANALYSIS: Cameron Rupp has been around the big leagues for a while, muddling through the last few years on last place Phillies teams. Last year, however, as the team got an infusion of young talent and didn’t finish in the N.L. East cellar for the first time in three seasons, Rupp had himself a mini breakout, hitting .252/.303/.447 with 16 homers and 54 RBI in 419 plate appearances. There is reason to believe we haven’t seen Rupp’s ceiling as far as counting stats,...continue reading

Austin Hedges (C, SD) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~270 CURRENT ADP: 295 ANALYSIS: Austin Hedges has long been regarded as an elite defensive catcher, but he didn’t really reach top prospect status until he started tearing up the high minors at the plate in 2015. In two seasons at Triple-A in 2015 and 2016, he slashed .326/.361/.583 in 413 plate appearances, after hitting just .225/.272/.314 in 532 plate appearances in Double-A from 2013 to 2014. His ISO went from .112 before 2016 to .255 in 2016, and he started driving the ball more, with...continue reading

Brandon Finnegan (SP, CIN) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~280 CURRENT ADP: 333 ANALYSIS: Just a quick glance at Brandon Finnegan’s 10-11 record with a 3.98 ERA doesn’t tell the story of his 2016 campaign. The 23-year-old, in his third season in the big leagues and second as a starter, might have made a monumental discovery late in the season. From his last start in July through the end of the season, he surrendered more than three runs in an outing just once. By late August, he was pitching like a full-blown ace, and he...continue reading

Jerad Eickhoff (SP, PHI) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~190 CURRENT ADP: 205 ANALYSIS: Jerad Eickhoff has displayed flashes of brilliance in his two seasons with the Phillies, and although he features a 3.44 career ERA in 41 starts, his record stands at a disappointing 14-17. In terms of his stuff alone, the 26-year-old doesn’t strike out a substantial number of batters, but he does walk very few, induce a healthy number of ground balls and strands plenty of runners. Eickhoff is a horse in the rotation, having nearly surpassed the 200-inning mark last season while...continue reading

Carlos Rodon (SP, CHW) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~165 CURRENT ADP: 192 ANALYSIS: After a promising rookie season with the White Sox two years ago, Carlos Rodon appeared to take a step back last year. The 24-year-old won nine games for the second consecutive season, but lost four additional games, finishing the season a game under .500. His ERA also went up, and he gave up more home runs. The bright spots, however, came in Rodon’s strikeout and walk rates, which both improved in his sophomore season. His 2016 campaign was a tale of...continue reading

Greg Bird (1B, NYY) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~183 CURRENT ADP: ~246 ANALYSIS: Many fantasy owners were already excited about Bird heading into the 2016 season after he hit 11 HR in only 46 games following a late season call-up in 2015. But fans received the disappointing news prior to spring training that Bird would miss the season after having shoulder surgery. Fast forward to 2017 and the excitement is back as Bird is now recovered and slated to be the primary first baseman for the Bronx Bombers. Bird Dog combined across multiple levels to hit at least 20...continue reading

Dan Straily (SP, MIA) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~305 CURRENT ADP: 335 ANALYSIS: Dan Straily was able to make some minor adjustments in his game last season that had a huge impact on his success. The underlying statistics say he still has work to do (4.88/5.02 FIP/xFIP last season), but he certainly took a big step forward. After winning one game the previous two seasons with an unsightly 6.42 ERA, Straily was a 14-game winner last season for the Reds with a 3.76 ERA. He was 18th in the majors with 20 quality starts, and...continue reading

Robert Gsellman (SP, NYM) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~300 CURRENT ADP: 339 ANALYSIS: The Mets’ rotation was a mess last season due to injuries, but something good came from it— we got to see Robert Gsellman make his major league debut. He made eight appearances (seven starts), and held his own with a 2.42 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and a 42:15 K:BB ratio. Throughout his minor league career he wasn’t a big strikeout guy, as he relied on limiting his walks, inducing soft contact and getting hitters to ground out. He held a 54.2 percent ground...continue reading

Zach Davies (SP, MIL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~275 CURRENT ADP: 297 ANALYSIS: After enjoying a cup of tea in the majors in 2015, Zach Davies burst on the scene as a big fantasy surprise last season. He was able to improve his game in many areas, ending the year with a 3.97 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over 28 starts. He doesn’t do his damage being a big strikeout guy, but rather he is a master of control. He was able to up his strikeout rate from 6.35 to 7.44 last season, but more...continue reading

Jaime Garcia (SP, STL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~350 CURRENT ADP: 374 ANALYSIS: After throwing nearly 900 innings with the Cardinals since 2008, Jaime Garcia was traded to the Braves for three minor leaguers this offseason as he enters the final year of his contract. He had a down year in 2016, with a career-high 4.67 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Some of this can be attributed to injuries; a finger injury affected his ability to grip the baseball, and a recurring blister cost him a fingernail heading into 2016. Heading into 2017, those issues are...continue reading

Cesar Hernandez (2B, PHI) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~260 CURRENT ADP: 286 ANALYSIS: Cesar Hernandez looked like a utility man when he broke into the majors in 2014, but he’s developed into a player with relevance in many fantasy formats. His plate discipline, contact rate, and contact quality have steadily trended up in the last three years. He earned some criticism for mental lapses on the bases — note the ugly 17-for-30 success rate on stolen base attempts — but he also hit .294/.371/393 with quality defense to turn in a surprising four-win season....continue reading

Jerad Eickhoff (SP, PHI) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~185 CURRENT ADP: 205 ANALYSIS: Jerad Eickhoff may not be the most exciting option on the Phillies, but he was the most stable starter of the bunch last season. While the rotation was decimated with injuries, Eickhoff stayed healthy and threw a career-high 197.1 innings. He held a 3.65 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP, and was one of only 20 major league pitchers to throw at least 190 innings with a sub-3.70 ERA. If you look at his season as a whole, he was as consistent as it...continue reading

Vince Velasquez (SP, PHI) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~160 CURRENT ADP: 184 ANALYSIS: Vince Velasquez flashed his huge upside early in 2016 with a dominant, 16-strikeout complete game against the Padres. The 24-year old righty held a 10.44 K/9 rate last season, as well as a FIP/xFIP of 3.96/.3.67 that suggest he pitched better than his 4.12 ERA would indicate. His season was cut short by the Phillies after he reached his innings limit, ending the year with 131 innings. The fatigue may have gotten to Velasquez; after posting a 3.32 ERA in the first...continue reading

Tyler Anderson (SP, COL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~320 CURRENT ADP: 357 ANALYSIS: After sitting out all of 2015 to help his elbow fracture properly heal, Tyler Anderson became an afterthought in the Rockies organization. He went through a brief rehab assignment to begin the 2016 season, starting in High-A and ending with three starts in Triple-A Albuquerque. Once he got the call-up to the majors he never went back, ending the year with Colorado and leading the team in ERA. Over 19 starts in the best hitters park in the majors Anderson held...continue reading

Mike Montgomery (SP, CHC) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~290 CURRENT ADP: 310 ANALYSIS: Mike Montgomery was acquired by the Cubs last season and filled a very important role in their World Series run. He was mainly used out of the bullpen, earning the save in Game 7 to clinch the series. Throughout the minors, though, he had been a starter, and he will be stretched out this offseason to help Chicago's rotation. He will need to compete with the oft-injured Brett Anderson for the fifth starting spot, but has a good...continue reading

Lance Lynn (SP, STL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~265 CURRENT ADP: 293 ANALYSIS: Lance Lynn had been a consistent and effective starter for the Cardinals for four straight seasons until 2016. From 2012-15, he held a 3.38 ERA and an 8.65 K/9, and for three straight seasons he was among the top-two starters in all of baseball in HR/FB rate. However, Lynn missed the entire 2016 season after undergoing Tommy John surgery, and never made it back onto the field. Heading into 2017, though, you should feel fine about taking him at his reduced...continue reading

ADP Values for Fantasy Baseball: NL Outfielders

Spring Training rolls along, giving us a great chance to overreact to every at-bat. It might be a better use of our time to look at some stats from previous years and analyze current draft values instead. This time we'll check out some undervalued and overvalued NL Outfielders, to identify desirable draft targets and avoids based on ADPs. Whether you play in an NL-only league or just want to dig a little deeper, these National League players are worth monitoring throughout the remainder of the preseason. ADP data is taken from early NFBC rankings to...continue reading

Jake Lamb (3B, ARI) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers & Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~82 CURRENT ADP: ~141 ANALYSIS: A fairly obvious candidate for this list, but his ADP is still too way too high compared to the value expected. I had Lamb 16th among third basemen in our 2016 preseason rankings, higher than any of the half-dozen colleagues who participated. His solid minor league performances were backed up by some impressive MLB peripherals, even if the results to that point had been underwhelming. Ultimately, I pegged him as a solid CI option in deeper mixers, while his ADP sat in the 400s. Lamb...continue reading

Manuel Margot (OF, SD) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~225 CURRENT ADP: 244 ANALYSIS: Manuel Margot came over in the Craig Kimbrel trade, and is expected to start the season in San Diego. Margot, 22, is ranked No. 24 on the Baseball America Top 100 Prospects list, and has displayed an ability to hit for average in the minors along with a great glove. Assuming all goes well in Spring Training, he should find himself manning center field come Opening Day. There's some risk with unknown commodities, but the reward is far...continue reading

Travis Jankowski (OF, SD) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~260 CURRENT ADP: 288 ANALYSIS: Travis Jankowski has taken advantage of the lack of surrounding talent in San Diego. He drew 130 starts in 2016 and was able to steal 30 bases, although he was primarily a one-cat stat producer. He hit .245 with two homers, 53 R and 12 RBI. Jankowski is expected to bat leadoff in 2017, meaning there should be many steal opportunities ahead, and although he needs to be more selective (caught stealing 12 times -- third worst in MLB), he is...continue reading

Keon Broxton (OF, MIL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~200 CURRENT ADP: 227 ANALYSIS: Keon Broxton joined the Brewers in the second half of 2016 and was an instant spark plug. In 244 at-bats, he produced 36 steals with a .354 OBP. His strong play has him as the favorite to start in center field, although his fantasy value is stunted by Jonathan Villar occupying the leadoff role. If the Brewers decide to go Villar-Broxton-Ryan Braun, they will have the most steals from their 1-3 spots among all teams...continue reading

Rajai Davis (OF, OAK) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~230 CURRENT ADP: 246 ANALYSIS: Rajai Davis is on his fourth team in five years, but still has value thanks to his legs. He had 43 steals last season along with a career-high 74 runs and 12 homers. As a result, he earned leadoff duties for an Oakland team that is in constant rebuild mode. There is no major outfield prospect waiting behind Davis, meaning he should see regular playing time. The 36-year-old is a lock for 30 steals with a legitimate opportunity to match his 43...continue reading

Ender Inciarte (OF, ATL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~210 CURRENT ADP: 237 ANALYSIS: The Braves’ offense was sneaky good to finish 2016, posting a .774 OPS in the second half (third in MLB). The addition of Matt Kemp provided Freddie Freeman solid protection, but the biggest X-factor was Ender Inciarte. Inciarte was a tale of two halves, hitting .227 with 26 runs in the first half and .341 with 59 runs in the second half. The 59 runs were tied for second in baseball— with Freeman. The 26-year-old Inciarte...continue reading

Chris Herrmann (C, ARI) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~350 CURRENT ADP: 378 ANALYSIS: Chris Herrmann took a big step forward in production last season in his first year with the Diamondbacks, posting a career high 118 OPS+. The problem is he did it in only 166 plate appearances, as his season ended prematurely when he fractured his hand. Also, a .364 BABIP has left fantasy owners skeptical. The skepticism is certainly warranted, but the Diamondbacks still non-tendered Welington Castillo, effectively handing Herrmann the starting job heading into 2017. He’ll have some...continue reading

James McCann (C, DET) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~250 CURRENT ADP: 318 ANALYSIS: James McCann had a nice year for the Tigers in 2015, slashing .264/.297/.387 as a rookie, but last year he appeared to take a step back, as his OPS was down (.629) while strikeouts were up (109). The one thing he did to generate some optimism in the Motor City was hit 12 bombs in 373 plate appearances. It’s too bad that had to come at the cost of more strikeouts and a dismal .221 average and .272 OBP. However, a...continue reading

Tom Murphy (C, COL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~210 CURRENT ADP: 221 ANALYSIS: Fantasy owners have to be licking their chops at the idea of Tom Murphy getting at least 200 plate appearances at Coors Field this season, as the 25-year-old catcher hit five bombs in just 49 PA during his September call-up last season and flashed some big-time power in the minors. It’s a small sample size, but Murphy has put up an OPS+ of 133 in 32 games as a big leaguer, so it’s easy to dream of 20-25 homers from this...continue reading

Jett Bandy (C, MIL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~370 CURRENT ADP: 403 ANALYSIS: Jett Bandy was dealt to Milwaukee this offseason, and the move could provide him with a nice sleeper opportunity. He took over as the Angels’ main catcher midway through last season, and will now be competing for playing time with Andrew Susac and Manny Pina. The 26-year-old is regarded as an excellent defender and was sixth-best in MLB at throwing out would-be base-stealers last year, gunning down 39.6 percent of runners. He also showed some nice...continue reading

Neftali Feliz (RP, MIL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~210

CURRENT ADP: 233

ANALYSIS: Neftali Feliz has had an up-and-down career since 2014, so he will look for consistency in 2017 as the best candidate to close out wins for the Milwaukee Brewers. Entering the season in a rebuilding phase, the Brewers may trade Feliz if he becomes desired by other teams over the course of the season. Feliz is a reliable pick for a third closer as long as he stays on the Brewers.

Brandon Kintzler (RP, MIN) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~240

CURRENT ADP: 270

ANALYSIS: Brandon Kintzler pitched to a 3.15 ERA with just 17 saves, but his job appears to be secure. Former closer Glen Perkins is recovering from a significant injury so his likelihood of being ready for the start of the season is slim. Until Perkins proves he's healthy and capable of progressing to high-leverage situations, Kintzler is the go-to closer for the Twins. Kintzler is being drafted after several setup men, and

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Jim Johnson (RP, ATL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~220

CURRENT ADP: 251

ANALYSIS: Last year, Jim Johnson showed that he may have turned back to a better time in his 11-year career. Having recorded 20 saves on a 3.06 ERA while striking out just over a batter per inning, Johnson appears to have found success as closer of the Atlanta Braves. Is he a top-10 closer? No, but his recent success paired with the inexperienced relievers he shares the bullpen with provide stability for the 33-year-old veteran

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Addison Russell (SS, CHC) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~110

CURRENT ADP: 133

ANALYSIS: While Addison Russell didn’t have the huge breakout many were projecting for him last year, he was still pretty darn good, hitting 21 home runs with 67 runs scored and 95 RBI while mostly batting seventh in the lineup. We saw big improvements in his plate discipline here 2016, and there’s no reason to believe the 23-year-old won’t continue to ascend. Given his talent, the ceiling is higher on Russell at this draft price

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ADP Values for Fantasy Baseball: Relief Pitchers

What's up RotoBallers. Welcome back to another article in our series of early ADP value analysis for fantasy baseball. Today, we'll cover some undervalued and overvalued relief pitchers, to try and help identify draft targets and avoids based on ADP. Opening Day is still over a month away, but it's never too soon for draft prep. ADP data from early NFBC rankings can give us a glimpse into what other owners are thinking heading into a new campaign. Undervalued Relief Pitchers Jim Johnson, Atlanta Braves (ADP: 219) Last year, ...continue reading

Travis Shaw (3B, MIL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~275

CURRENT ADP: 311

ANALYSIS: Travis Shaw’s first full season in the majors got off to a good start, but he wasn’t able to keep the momentum going and ended up as the clear weak link in a stacked Red Sox lineup. Now in Milwaukee, he’ll get to play half his games in Miller Park, where left-handed power plays way up. Shaw hit 16 homers last season, and it’s easy to see him pushing that total into the 20–25 range.

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Jung Ho Kang (3B, PIT) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~210

CURRENT ADP: 242

ANALYSIS: The gruesome knee injury that cut Jung Ho Kang’s rookie season short also took a chunk out of his second year in the majors. When he was on the field, though, he produced. Kang hit 21 homers in just 370 plate appearances and added nearly four percentage points to his walk rate while holding his strikeout rate steady. So why is he languishing until the late rounds in most drafts? Unfortunately, it’s not just

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Nick Castellanos (3B, DET) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~180

CURRENT ADP: 203

ANALYSIS: Nick Castellanos was in the midst of a breakout last season before injury decommissioned him for most of the second half. Despite a steady upward trend in his production since breaking into the big leagues, Castellanos has yet to improve on his plate approach or contact issues. If he’d made enough plate appearances, Castellanos would have tied for the 11th-worst swinging strike rate and 19th-worst contact rate among qualified hitters. You can make that

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Mike Moustakas (3B, KC) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~170

CURRENT ADP: 195

ANALYSIS: Mike Moustakas enjoyed a long-awaited breakthrough in 2015, hitting .284 with 22 home runs. Through the first month of last season, he looked well on his way to an even better follow-up. Unfortunately, a torn ACL ended his season prematurely, but he’s expected to be 100 percent before the start of the upcoming season. It’s understandable that he’s something of a forgotten man given the crazy depth at the hot corner this season, but Moustakas

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Ryon Healy (3B, OAK) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~170

CURRENT ADP: 190

ANALYSIS: Ryon Healy was lightly regarded as a minor leaguer, barely mentioned by prospect mavens when they reviewed Oakland’s decidedly unspectacular farm system. Despite always being on the old side for his level, Healy hadn’t distinguished himself in his first three minor league seasons. In 2016, however, he began raking at Double-A, and didn’t stop even as he was promoted to the majors midseason.  Healy totaled 27 homers – half of them in the majors

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Jarrod Dyson (OF, SEA) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~240

CURRENT ADP: 262

ANALYSIS: Jarrod Dyson was an excellent fourth outfielder with the Royals for most of this decade, his speed and defense making up for a lack of punch at the plate. He’s sixth in the majors in stolen bases since 2012, despite averaging fewer than 300 plate appearances per season during that time. He’s reportedly set to begin the seasons as the Mariners’ primary left fielder and leadoff man, making his current draft price a potentially major

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Matt Holliday (OF/1B, NYY) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~225

CURRENT ADP: 257

ANALYSIS: Matt Holliday is long one of the most bankable assets in baseball, but recent times haven’t been kind to him. Injuries have limited him to just 700 total plate appearances in the last two seasons. In 2015, he managed just four home runs after averaging 26 over the previous nine seasons. Last year, he hit a career-worst .246 and posted a walk rate below 10 percent for the first time since 2007. Now he’s

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Max Kepler (OF, MIN) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~210

CURRENT ADP: 231

ANALYSIS: Max Kepler exploded onto fantasy owners’ radar with a three-homer game on Aug. 1, but hit just three homers over the remainder of the season. That late-season swoon is the likely culprit for his current ADP, but there’s a lot to like here. Kepler is still just 23 (he was in rookie ball at age 17 after signing out of Germany) and has always shown good plate discipline. Over the last couple of years,

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Kevin Kiermaier (OF, TB) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~170

CURRENT ADP: 188

ANALYSIS: Kevin Kiermaier is widely known for his ridiculous defense in center field, but he’s also been a slightly above-average hitter in his career. Before a hand injury derailed things, he was pacing toward a 20-HR/30-SB season in 2016. Plus, he nearly doubled his walk rate. His .246 batting average left a bit to be desired, but he hit .263 in each of his first two MLB seasons. If he can get back to that

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Kole Calhoun (OF, LAA) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~160

CURRENT ADP: 184

ANALYSIS: Kole Calhoun seems pretty under-appreciated for a guy who ranks 16th among outfielders in FanGraphs WAR over the last three years. He has averaged 20 homers and just under 90 runs scored over that span to go along with a passable average. Last season, Calhoun managed to chop over six points off his K% while also posting a career best walk rate of 10 percent. In an Angels lineup that should outperform

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ADP Values For Fantasy Baseball: Shortstops

RotoBallers, happy draft season! We are inching closer to Opening Day, and thankfully that means it’s time to analyze everything under the sun as soon we will soon be in the midst of our fantasy drafts. This article is going to take a look at a few shortstops to determine if their ADP is too high, too low, or about right. Keep in mind ADP data at this point is EARLY and will continue to evolve and change as the days go by. Without further ado, here’s an initial look at...continue reading

Third Base Draft Values and Sleepers for 2017

RotoBaller's draft values and sleepers series rolls on! Today, we'll discuss some early third base draft values and potential sleepers for the 2017 fantasy baseball season. The quality and depth of the pool at the hot corner this season is astonishing. The top four players at the position are first-rounders, and at least a dozen more are worthy options to be your primary third baseman. Even beyond that, there are several intriguing names. Let's look at a few of them, shall we? Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our ...continue reading

Jurickson Profar (1B/2B/3B/SS/OF, TEX) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~350

CURRENT ADP: 376

ANALYSIS: The dust has settled on Jurickson Profar's hype and he is now being valued well outside the top 20 at second base. You may recall Profar got off to a sizzling start, hitting .343 at the onset of July. It was all downhill from there, however, and he finished with a disappointing .239 average with five homers and two steals to his name over 272 at-bats. Profar played all over the field in 2016, making him a

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Jose Peraza (2B, CIN) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~120

CURRENT ADP: 138

ANALYSIS: Jose Peraza had the kind of post-deadline production that makes you salivate about his potential over a full season. He spent the early part of the season bouncing back and forth between Triple-A and the big-league club, hitting .250 with the occasional stolen base. After his last call-up on Aug. 20, Peraza hit .366 with 11 steals in 156 at-bats to close the season. The former Braves prospect now has a .301 career mark across all levels. He

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Joe Panik (2B, SF) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~275

CURRENT ADP: 323

ANALYSIS: Joe Panik is a former first-round pick who hasn't quite panned out yet, but the potential is there. After hitting .305 and .312 in his first two major league seasons, which included an All-Star appearance in 2015, he dropped to .239 last year. Panik’s injuries, although seemingly minor, may have played a big part in his decline. Consider too that his BABIP plummeted nearly 100 points from two years ago, down to .245. His plate discipline

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Devon Travis (2B, TOR) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~180

CURRENT ADP: 207

ANALYSIS: Devon Travis was a valuable streamer for many fantasy owners at times last season, but inconsistency has held him back from being a full-fledged fantasy starter. He hit .321 in the second half of the year to finish with an even .300 batting average. Travis took the majority of his at-bats in the leadoff spot, giving him a great chance to score runs atop a powerful lineup. He only posted a .323 OBP when hitting first,

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Brandon Crawford (SS, SF) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~210

CURRENT ADP: 243

ANALYSIS: Despite a substantial drop in his HR total (from 21 to 12), Brandon Crawford deserves more attention than his current ADP would indicate. His contact quality and plate discipline have improved with regularity since he broke into the majors as a glove-only shortstop. Even last season, the loss of power was somewhat offset by a 20-point increase in batting average. Like every other player who calls AT&T Park home, Crawford’s production will be somewhat depressed,

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Jedd Gyorko (2B/3B/SS, STL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~215

CURRENT ADP: 240

ANALYSIS: Jedd Gyorko’s first season in St. Louis couldn’t have gone much better. He took advantage of Kolten Wong’s early struggles and Jhonny Peralta’s injury, turning himself into a versatile and indispensable member of the Cardinals’ infield. Gyorko launched 30 home runs in just 438 plate appearances, and has a chance to emerge as the primary third baseman this year. For fantasy purposes, however, he retains eligibility at both

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Marcus Semien (SS, OAK) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~180

CURRENT ADP: 202

ANALYSIS: The adjustments Marcus Semien made at the plate last season led to greater power at the expense of average. Given the power surge across the sport recently, that’s not ideal for fantasy purposes. However, the improvement in his contact quality was encouraging, and there may yet be more pop in his bat. Semien is only 26, after all, and he’s shown the ability to recognize and improve weaknesses in his game already (cf. his

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Dansby Swanson (SS, ATL) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~140

CURRENT ADP: 160

ANALYSIS: Acquired in the Shelby Miller trade last season, Dansby Swanson jumped from High-A to the majors and immediately set about making that deal look even more like a complete fleecing for the Braves.  The 2015 top overall pick hit .302/.361/.442 with three homers, three stolen bases and 37 R+RBI in 38 games after being promoted to the big leagues. His .383 BABIP was a touch on the high side, but

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Tim Anderson (SS, CHW) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~150

CURRENT ADP: 164

ANALYSIS: Known more for his speed than his bat as a prospect, Tim Anderson had a surprisingly robust debut. He hit .283 with nine homers and 10 steals and scored 57 runs in just 99 games as a rookie. While his plate discipline left much to be desired (111 strikeouts against just 13 walks), the 23-year-old showed he had the chops to hack it in the majors. With the White Sox in rebuild mode, Anderson

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2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers: Hunter Renfroe

Those who follow prospects in any way at all should be familiar with Hunter Renfroe. He is a former first-round pick and a top 100 overall prospect the last two years. He was also MVP of the Pacific Coast League last season, mashing to the tune of an .893 OPS with 30 HR and 105 RBI. It marked the third out of four minor league seasons in which he totaled at least 20 HR and 75 RBI. This hardly seems like sleeper material, but the fact is that Renfroe's...continue reading

Francisco Cervelli (C, PIT) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~260

CURRENT ADP: 272.3

ANALYSIS: Francisco Cervelli's .264 batting average despite an otherwise down 2016 campaign proved that he is a guy who won’t hurt you. His 1.6% HR/FB has nowhere to go but up, and his .329 BABIP may seem inflated for a catcher, but he can run a little and avoids popping the ball up. The combination of a 24.1% FB% and 1.6% IFFB% is difficult to top in the pop-up avoidance category.

His average may actually have room to

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Travis d'Arnaud (C, NYM) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~ 250

CURRENT ADP: 281.7

ANALYSIS: Travis d’Arnaud was a popular sleeper pick heading into 2016, as his .268/.340/.485 line with 12 dingers in 268 plate appearances had fantasy owners interested. A shoulder injury bit into his playing time and limited him to a .247/.307/.323 line with four homers, however, removing him from the fantasy radar. He is expected to be fully healthy by Spring Training, giving him some post-hype sleeper appeal.

A mechanical flaw in d'Arnaud's batting stance has also been cited

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Stephen Vogt (C, OAK) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~220

CURRENT ADP: 240.7

ANALYSIS: Stephen Vogt's .251/.305/.406 line with 14 HR wasn't sexy, but the bar for catchers is pretty low. He is a little better than his surface stats suggest, too. His BABIP on ground balls was just .153 last year against a career average of .218. The shift was not the issue, as Vogt hit .287 against it. A few more singles are all it would take to bring his average to respectability, as his 15.6% K% is already

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Wilson Ramos (C, TB) - 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers & Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target ~230

CURRENT ADP: 253

ANALYSIS: Wilson Ramos had one of the better 2016 seasons for a catcher, as he hit .307/.354/.496 with 22 bombs in a breakout campaign. He also tore his ACL, preventing him from playing until May 2017 at the earliest. He seems to be recovering nicely from the knee injury by all accounts, and Tampa intends to use him as a DH while he gets healthy enough to go back behind the plate.

The DH thing is huge.

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ADP Values for Fantasy Baseball: NL Starting Pitchers

What's up RotoBallers. Welcome back to another article in our series of early ADP value analysis for fantasy baseball. Today, we'll cover some undervalued and overvalued NL starting pitchers, to try and help identify draft targets and avoids based on ADP. Opening Day is still over two months away, but it's never too soon for draft prep. ADP data from early NFBC rankings can give us a glimpse into what other owners are thinking heading into a new campaign. Undervalued NL Starting Pitchers Zack Greinke, Arizona Diamondbacks (ADP: 98) Look, there's no getting around this: Greinke's ERA went up...continue reading

 



2017 Fantasy Baseball Rankings