LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2025 Chicago


Brooks Koepka - PGA DFS lineup picks daily fantasy golf LIV golf betting picks

The LIV Golf League heads back to Chicago this week for the second to last individual event of the season. Bolingbrook hosted the LIV Chicago event for the first time last season in 2024 and was welcomed back again this season to host again. Jon Rahm won last year's event at -11, with Sergio Garcia, Joaquin Niemann, Tyrell Hatton and Ian Poulter rounding out the top five.

A key storyline to take place this week is the drop zone. This is the second to last individual event of the season so players currently in the drop zone will need to make a push to ensure their spot in the league. A couple of big names in the drop zone currently include Ian Poulter, Mito Pereira, Frederik Kjetterup and wild card, Anthony Kim. Andy Ogletree, Henrik Stenson and Lee Westwood are currently the last men in and will also need to play well to keep their spot in the league.

The event will be played Friday-Sunday and will air on the Fox Sports Network in 100% of U.S. markets, as well as the Fox Sports App and LIV Golf Plus. Globally, the event will be broadcast in over 160 international territories Live and On-Demand, via LIV Golf Plus.

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LIV Golf Chicago Course Breakdown

Below is the official round one scorecard provided by LIV Golf.

Hole 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Out
Par 4 4 5 3 4 3 4 4 4 35
Yardage 529 396 562 231 400 156 440 482 457 3653
Hole 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 In
Par 4 4 5 3 5 4 4 3 4 36
Yardage 430 434 621 154 600 342 408 173 443 3605

Bolingbrook Golf Club was designed by Arthur Hills and opened in 2002. Hills re-designed an old cornfield in his creation Bolingbrook, moving more than 2.4 million cubic yards of earth according to a Golftime magazine feature back in 2012. Bolingbrook is a links-style layout with seven lakes spread throughout the course. The two signature holes are the island green on 15 and the 600-yard par five that players will face on hole five.

The course will play as a 7,224 yard par-71. The big change this year is on hole 12, which has been changed from a par four to a par five, due to a new pushed back tee box. Looking at last year's leaderboard, distance is not a prerequisite to perform well at this course but will help on several holes. The top three of Rahm, Niemann and Garcia can all hit their drivers well and take advantage of longer holes. However, any course that features Ian Poulter in the top five shows that players do not have to overpower the course to have success. This is a course that players can and will have to strategize around, rather than just overpower.

One statistic that I found interesting when looking at last season's tournament stats was scrambling. Four players that finished inside the top five on the leaderboard ranked in the top ten on scrambling for the week. Additionally, Henrik Stenson, Lucan Herbert and Anirban Lahiri who all finished tied for sixth, also finished inside the top ten in scrambling. It wasn't necessarily a statistic I had marked down based on course appearance or scorecard, but the results from last season clearly state the importance of scrambling.

In 2021, Bolingbrook hosted a PGA Forme Tour event. This event was won by Mac Meissner at -21. Nine players shot -13 or better on the week. Last season in LIV Chicago 2024, Jon Rahm was the only player who finished double digits under par. In fact, only five players in the field finished better than -5 on the week. Although birdies are out there on the course, LIV clearly has this course set up harder than it was at other events. I would be looking for a winner this year somewhere in the -10 to -12 range.

 

LIV Golf Betting Odds - Chicago

Below are the current odds of winning, as presented by BetUS. Odds on different sportsbooks are subject to change.

Rot Odds to Win LIV Golf Chicago Moneyline
1001 Bryson DeChambeau +475
1002 Jon Rahm +525
1003 Joaquin Niemann +625
1004 Tyrrell Hatton +875
1005 Talor Gooch +1400
1006 Patrick Reed +1500
1007 Cameron Smith +2400
1008 David Puig +2400
1009 Abraham Ancer +2800
1010 Carlos Ortiz +2700
1011 Sebastian Munoz +2000
1012 Sergio Garcia +3300
1013 Dean Burmester +3500
1014 Tom McKibbin +3200
1015 Cameron Tringale +4000
1016 Bubba Watson +4400
1017 Paul Casey +3300
1018 Anirban Lahiri +4500
1019 Dustin Johnson +4500
1020 Louis Oosthuizen +5000
1021 Lucas Herbert +3900
1022 Marc Leishman +3500
1023 Adrian Meronk +6000
1024 Charl Schwartzel +6000
1025 Harold Varner III +5500
1026 Thomas Pieters +5500
1027 Richard Bland +8000
1028 Caleb Surratt +7000
1029 Charles Howell III +5800
1030 Jinichiro Kozuma +8000
1031 Jason Kokrak +10000
1032 Branden Grace +9800
1033 Lee Westwood +15000
1034 Sam Horsfield +11000
1035 Brendan Steele +10500
1036 Brooks Koepka +4800
1037 Phil Mickelson +12500
1038 Jose Luis Ballester +17500
1039 Martin Kaymer +12500
1040 Peter Uihlein +15000
1041 Ben Campbell +20000
1042 Graeme McDowell +20000
1043 Andy Ogletree +25000
1044 Matt Jones +25000
1045 Henrik Stenson +12500
1046 Matthew Wolff +35000
1047 Yubin Jang +40000
1048 Chieh-Po Lee +50000
1049 Danny Lee +50000
1050 Ian Poulter +50000
1051 Kevin Na +24500

 

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LIV Golf Betting Strategy & Selections - Chicago 

 

Cameron Smith +2700 (FanDuel)

It has been an overall disappointing year for Cam Smith in 2025. With that being said, the Aussie is trending in the right direction recently. Smith has finished 10th, 7th and 13th in the last three LIV starts and has gained strokes on approach in all three. In his last LIV start in the UK, Smith gained strokes both off the tee and on approach. Ironically, his putter which he is known for, held him back as he lost 0.59 strokes on average per round on the greens.


Despite a bad finish at this course last season, I believe Smith is a nice fit for what I am looking for here. When I look at scrambling as a key statistic, there are few players that I would put ahead of Cam Smith in that category. Smith has gained strokes around the green in every single LIV start this season but one and currently ranks 8th on the season in scrambling. He has also had success in Chicago before, winning the LIV Chicago event in 2022.

 

Brooks Koepka +5000 (FanDuel)

Although statistically there isn't much to love about Koepka, it's hard to deny the way Koepka has closed seasons throughout his LIV career. In both 2022 and 2023, Brooks won the final event of the season in Jeddah. Last year, the five-time major champion won the second to last event of the season at The Greenbrier. Could we be looking at another end of the season victory for the Smash GC captain? Winless in 2025, this would be the first season since joining LIV that Brooks has failed to win an event if he does not win either of the next two.


Ryder Cup motivation? It may seem like a longshot but if Brooks is able to win this week, he may get himself back into the discussion for a final captain's pick at the Ryder Cup. We know that Keegan Bradley invited him to the dinner back in May that included many Ryder Cup hopefuls. Despite not giving Keegan a ton of reason up to this point to select him, I believe a win this week could peak the captain's interest. Brooks is an alpha that the USA roster could use and won the 2019 PGA Championship at Bethpage.

 

Thomas Pieters +5000 (FanDuel)

There is a bit of home game narrative this week surrounding Thomas Pieters, who played his college golf at the University of Illinois. Pieters finished T11 at this event last season and has two top five finishes already this season in LIV events. The bomber has been great off the tee since Mexico, gaining strokes in six of seven starts. He has been speaking very confidently about his game and my bet is that he hits it well again this week.


The irons and putter have been a bit up and down this year and he will need both to cooperate this week to get a win. However, one statistic that stuck out to me about Pieters was his scrambling. While he is known for his big driver off the tee, the Belgian ranks 7th this year on LIV in scrambling. With scrambling being a key stat that I noted above, Pieters checks the box.



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