KBO DFS Lineup Picks for 7/1/20 - DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball


Welcome back, RotoBallers, to another KBO DFS column. If you haven't signed up for the RotoBaller Premium Slack chat, it's a great space to chat during the day about the lineups. You can also follow me and the other Rotoballer writers on Twitter. In particular, @efhatch1990dfs has his personal KBO DFS Cheat Sheets which you will now be able to find on RotoBaller.

New to KBO? Don't worry, we got you covered! DraftKings and FanDuel will use the same scoring system that they do for MLB, however, the roster builds are much different on FanDuel. You must roster two infielders, two outfielders, and two utility players along with a pitcher for a total of only seven players on FanDuel. DraftKings has kept its normal MLB structure with two starting pitchers and an entire eight-hitter lineup for a total of ten players.

Building lineups on each site is going to be a good bit different on most nights, but I've tried to give you enough options and thoughts behind each option so that you can make the best decision based on your build preference. Today, I'll be providing my KBO DFS lineup picks and analysis for this five-game slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 5:30 AM on Wednesday, July 1, 2020. You can check our daily KBO Betting Picks as well, which Steve usually posts around 8 PM.

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KBO DFS Pitchers

Chang-Mo Koo (NC)

$11.0K DraftKings, $29 FanDuel

Anytime Koo is on the slate, you need to think long and hard about playing him. The left-hander is the best pitcher in the KBO, coming into this game with a 6-0 record, 1.37 ERA, and 0.76 WHIP in nine starts. He's also amassed 65 strikeouts and only 12 walks over 59 innings and allowed only two home runs on the year. Now, many people may be scared off by Lotte's recent run of offensive success, but the Giants hit just .206 as a team against LHP on the year and just .216 against them during their hot month of June. They still don't strikeout a lot as a team, which will limit Koo's ultimate upside, but they had 139 strikeouts in June, which is no longer best in the league and puts them closer to the middle of the pack. Koo is very much the safest pitching option on the slate, but DraftKings is really making you pay up for it. I can see going a different way in GPP, but I would fade it hard to fade that security in a cash game. It's a good thing that a few of the best stacks today have some budget hitting options.

 

Ki-young Im (KIA)

$8.0K DraftKings, $24 FanDuel

Im may be the second safest play tomorrow because of both his match-up and recent performance. For one, he comes into the game with a 2.91 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in his eight starts. He has 39 strikeouts and only 7 walks in 43.1 innings, which gives him some fantasy upside while not providing the opponent with free opportunities. That's doubly effective when the opponent is the worst team in the league. In the month of June, Hanwha hit .239 as a team with a league-worst 12 HRs and the fourth-most strikeouts at 175. They also hit only .212 against right-handed pitching, which plays into Im's favor even more.

However, the 27-year-old has thrown more than six innings only one time on the season, so he's not likely to pitch deep into the game. His floor is relatively high, and he should get some added points with the win bonus, which makes him an alluring fantasy option, especially in cash games.

 

David Buchanan (SAM)

$7.6K DraftKings, $22 FanDuel

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The last two pitchers I like on today's slate are actually from the same game. We'll start with Buchanan since the Lions are favored at home. The American really struggled in his last start, which was a disappointing effort against Hanwha where he gave up eight runs on 12 hits in six innings. However, he had been humming along until then, giving up five earned runs combined in his previous 31.2 innings, which included starts against NC, Doosan, KT, and Kia in their home park.

Since the right-hander doesn't strikeout many batters, he struggles when he gives up too many home runs, as he did against Hanwha. He's given up four of his eight total home runs in his last three starts, which would be more concerning if he wasn't facing an SK team that hit only one home run in the entire month of June off of a right-handed pitcher. The Wyverns are even worse on the road with a 4-17 record and a .230 batting average. I consider Buchanan's last start a small blip and don't think SK can do a lot of damage to him, but his fantasy ceiling is ultimately capped by his lack of strikeouts.

 

Seung-won Moon (SK)

$7.7K DraftKings, $27 FanDuel

On the other side of the match-up, Moon figures to be lowered own since SK is the road underdog. However, he may very well be the better arm. The right-hander has continued his progression over the last few years by compiling a 3.23 ERA and 1.13 WHIP across nine starts, striking out 52 and walking 12 in 53 innings. He's also been masterful of late, shutting out Doosan at home and Kiwoom on the road while allowing only six hits in those 13 innings and striking out 11. While Samsung has been rising up the standings of late, they've also struggled against right-handed pitching, hitting only .202 as a team in June with zero home runs. They've also struck out 174 times in the month of June, which puts them only two strikeouts from being third-worst in the league. All of which makes me feel like Moon's strikeout potential gives him the higher ceiling in this match-up and could make him a good GPP option.

 

Other Options

 

KBO Top Hitter Stacks

 

NC Dinos

The Dinos are the best team in the KBO (though perhaps not for long) and face the worst pitcher on the slate, so obviously we're going to stack them. Won-sam Jang has only made one appearance on the season, allowing five runs on 10 hits over three innings against Doosan. He wasn't much better last year, finishing with a 7.98 ERA in only eight appearances, or in 2018, when he had a 6.16 ERA in eight games started. The Dinos should jump all over him early, which will force Lotte to use their bullpen a day after their starter only went 2.1 innings in an 11 inning game.

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Kia Tigers

We know Kia crushes at home, hitting .313 with 12 HRs in the friendly confines in the month of June. They're also facing a pitcher who is susceptible to the long ball as Shi-hwan Jang has given up five HRs in only 37.2 innings. With 46 strikeouts over that time, he does have the ability to miss bats, but his 25 walks also suggest that he will give the Tigers many opportunities to put runs up on the board. With Kia's mix of high-priced bats and low-cost salary savers, they could be an attractive stack in this matchup.

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Small Stacks

Doosan Bears

The Doosan/Kiwoom game features two average pitchers facing dangerous offenses given that Kiwoom has been on a roll and Doosan is much higher-scoring on the road. The Bears offense was silent in yesterday's 11-2 loss, but they typically come alive on the road, and the Heroes have been the hottest team in the KBO, winning 12 of their last 13. This game has blow-up potential and could be a solid GPP stack; however, the only thing stopping me from buying into it is that Young-ha Lee and Hyun-hee Han both have only given up two home runs on the season, which could cap the offensive output while the starters are in the game. Once the starters are pulled, Kiwoom has the best bullpen in the KBO and is only getting healthier and stronger, which means that Doosan may find it harder to score runs late in the game.

Main Targets:

 

Kiwoom Heroes

Kiwoom as a team hits better on the road, but it's hard to fade a team that is this hot, so you may have to pick your spots wisely.

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Good luck with your DFS contests everyone. Be sure to stop back every day for more KBO DFS analysis here at RotoBaller!

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