Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 RBC Heritage. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.
New starting this year -- if you would like to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.
Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'
Featured Promo! Save 30% on any Premium Pass using discount code NEW. Win more with our DFS, Betting and Season-Long Pass, get expert tools and advice from proven winners! GAIN ACCESS
Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings - The CJ Cup
Below are some of my favorite picks for DraftKings. We also have tons of other great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.
PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Spencer's Model (And More)
We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:
PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)
- A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market.
- The CJ Cup
Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)
- Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
- All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
- In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
- Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
- Units: +340.903 Units
- All Totals Are Entering 2025
- Click here to see an example
In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)
- Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.
In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4
- Lifetime Record:
- (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Click here to see an example
First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles
- Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
- Click here to see an example
One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)
- 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
- Click here to see an example
Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends
- We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.
- Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.
- $224.99 per year - Sign up today for all the tools I provide!
- You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space since it includes top-notch work from the likes of Joe Nicely, Byron Lindeque, others, and myself!
You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!
Let's Look at the Stats
| Stat | TPC Craig Ranch | PGA Average |
| Driving Distance | 294 | 283 |
| Driving Accuracy | 61% | 61% |
| GIR Percentage | 71% | 65% |
| Scrambling Percentage | 66% | 57% |
| Average Three-Putts Per Round | 0.39 | 0.54 |
Field
Field Size: 156
Cut: Top 65 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 2
Last Five Winners of The CJ Cup
| 2024 | Taylor Pendrith | -23 |
| 2023 | Jason Day | -23 |
| 2022 | K.H. Lee | -26 |
| 2021 | K.H. Lee | -25 |
| 2019 |
Expected Cut-Line at The CJ Cup
| 2024 | -5 |
| 2023 | 3 |
| 2022 | |
| 2021 | |
| 2019 |
TPC Craig Ranch
7,569 Yards - Par 71 - Greens Bentgrass
You can find my premium course breakdown in my premium DraftKings article this week.
First Look Into Outright Bets
| Player | Price |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 60 |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 75 |
| Lee Hodges | 110 |
Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?
Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!
Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023
Favorite Targets Early On Monday
Names Up Top
Of the 11 names priced $9,000 and above, only Sam Burns didn't grade within the top 12 of my overall model, and even he carried top 10 win equity marks because of his stellar statistical profile for TPC Craig Ranch.
Because of that answer, you could sell me in a handful of different directions, but I want to note that Scottie Scheffler's data is a thing of beauty.
Is $7,340 per player enough if you start with Scottie Scheffler at $13,300? That is an answer you must decide upon this week, but the profile presents a chef's kiss return.
On second thought, maybe we should stay out of the kitchen when talking about the Texan...
Jacob Bridgeman ($8,500)
I was hoping Jacob Bridgeman's missed cut at the Houston Open might derail popularity this week since these two venues share so many similarities.
Long courses that see increased proximity from 200+ yards. Texas venues that demand off-the-tee excellence if you want to capture the title. None of those categories are prototypical answers for a golfer who ranks 93rd in Weighted Driving. Still, there is a reason the market has reacted quickly to Bridgeman's profile for betting and likely will do the same for DraftKings.
My model ranked Bridgeman an impressive 49 spots better at this course in Expected Proximity than his baseline average. He also cracked the top 18 over the last 24 rounds when playing a venue measuring over 7,400 yards. Do note that Bridgeman carried nearly 15% ownership during that Houston mishap a handful of weeks ago and will likely do the same here, although this is a prime spot for him to perform at a respectable price tag.
Ryo Hisatsune ($8,300)
Here is a teaser of my model of the top seven 'Win Profiles" when taking the four years of data at the course and getting it to project what options have the skillsets that most resemble past champions:
Naturally, Taylor Pendrith's profile mimics that of a winner at the course since he won here last season, but it is also important to point out that Ryo Hisatsune was the only golfer priced over 50/1 to make the top seven of this list.
Hisatsune's recent metrics will tell a similar story of this upside, and I viewed the 22-year-old as a prime breakout candidate if someone is capable of dethroning the inevitability of Scottie Scheffler this week.
Lee Hodges ($7,500)
My model had four golfers in the $7,000 section grade within the top 60 of all seven categories I ran. Those names were Alex Smalley ($7,900), Thorbjorn Olesen ($7,800), Lee Hodges ($7,500) and Sami Valimaki ($7,300).
None of those options survived the cut when I condensed the list down to only include those who landed in the top 40 in all areas. However, Hodges has an extremely enticing data set that graded within the top 15 of this field for Weighted Strokes Gained Total, Texas Production and a combination of Long Iron Proximity + Putting + Off-The-Tee.
I worry a little bit that anything anti-Scheffler in the outright market is going to turn into a complete waste of funds, although consider this a ripe spot to play Hodges for DFS since he pairs well with everyone on the board.
Win More With RotoBaller
Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.
Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:
If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020
Congrats @tenndolly2 ???
— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020
Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt
