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Luis Robert Jr. 2026 Fantasy Baseball Outlook: Glorified Fourth Outfielder Going Way Too Early in Drafts
Luis Robert Jr. struggled again in 2025, hitting .223/.297/.364 with 14 HR and 33 SB in 431 PAs. His biggest bugaboo remains his approach. Robert's 26 K% wasn't good, and his underlying 15.7 SwStr% would easily support an even higher strikeout rate. Robert's 17.5 SwStr% in 2024 was even worse, and we can't say he improved last year when his Z-Contact% went in the wrong direction (80.9 last season, 81.8 in 2024). Swing-and-miss is acceptable if accompanied by huge power, but Robert's 93.6 mph average exit velocity on flies and liners, 10.2 percent rate of Brls/BBE, and 12.3 percent HR/FB are only about average. While the White Sox played him every day, the contending Mets are unlikely to do so if he repeats last year's .211/.272/.329 line vs. RHP. He'll also be buried in New York's lineup, limiting his counting stats even if he performs well. Robert plays good defense and should steal bases to the extent he plays, but his 123.81 ADP is way too high for a guy likely to end up as a fourth outfielder in a short-side platoon role.
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