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2019 NFL Rookie Rankings Analysis


With the 2019 NFL Draft now behind us, fantasy owners are now looking forward to the upcoming season. The first step in this process tends to be rookie drafts for those in dynasty formats. Now is the time to become acquainted with the new blood in the league, the teams in which they were drafted, and the impact they will have in fantasy football moving forward. The sooner you put the work in gives you a leg up on your league-mates.

Leading into the draft, most of the players that were being highly touted (Josh Jacobs, N'Keal Harry, D.K. Metcalf) found themselves in very fantasy friendly destinations. They will be names that you should get used to seeing high in rookie drafts. But based on the flow of the NFL Draft, plenty of player values fell down the board as we saw names get drafted a little later than we expected. Putting several players in situations where they will be fighting for playing time early on, which will also affect just how early they can make an impact on your dynasty teams.

In an effort to help you all out there in the fantasy world, I and others over at RotoBaller put together our consensus rankings in order to prepare you for rookie drafts. Coupled with my take on these rankings, the hope is that we give you everything you need to outshine the rest of your league and build a team to beat!

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Dynasty Rookie Rankings (Post NFL Draft)

Tier Rank Player Name Pos Pierre Brandon Sean Matt Composite
1 1 N'Keal Harry WR 1 2 4 1 2.000
1 2 Josh Jacobs RB 4 1 1 8 3.500
1 3 A.J. Brown WR 3 6 8 2 4.750
1 4 Miles Sanders RB 5 3 3 9 5.000
1 5 D.K. Metcalf WR 2 13 5 7 6.750
1 6 David Montgomery RB 10 4 2 14 7.500
2 7 Parris Campbell WR 15 5 10 12 10.500
2 8 J.J. Arcega-Whiteside WR 19 10 9 5 10.750
2 9 Hakeem Butler WR 11 14 16 3 11.000
2 10 Noah Fant TE 9 15 15 10 12.250
2 11 Darrell Henderson RB 13 22 12 6 13.250
2 12 Marquise Brown WR 14 12 13 15 13.500
2 13 Kyler Murray QB 7 11 20 17 13.750
3 14 T.J. Hockenson TE 24 7 7 21 14.750
3 15 Kelvin Harmon WR 12 17 28 4 15.250
3 16 Justice Hill WR 17 18 18 11 16.000
3 17 Andy Isabella WR 25 16 14 13 17.000
3 18 Deebo Samuel WR 6 8 6 48 17.000
3 19 Mecole Hardman WR 23 9 11 35 19.500
3 20 Dwayne Haskins QB 18 19 26 18 20.250
4 21 Damien Harris RB 8 27 29 28 23.000
4 22 Benny Snell Jr. RB 21 24 32 16 23.250
4 23 Miles Boykin WR 27 21 25 #N/A 24.333
4 24 Devin Singletary RB 20 32 19 29 25.000
4 25 Irv Smith Jr. TE 16 28 21 39 26.000
4 26 Diontae Johnson WR 33 26 22 #N/A 27.000
4 27 Bruce Anderson RB #N/A 25 30 #N/A 27.500
4 28 Rodney Anderson RB 31 23 39 19 28.000
4 29 Jalen Hurd WR 28 29 27 #N/A 28.000
4 30 Bryce Love RB 22 43 35 23 30.750
4 31 Terry McLaurin WR 45 31 17 #N/A 31.000
5 32 Drew Lock QB 26 30 40 42 34.500
5 33 Alexander Mattison RB 54 41 23 26 36.000
5 34 Jace Sternberger TE 44 36 24 40 36.000
5 35 Kahale Warring TE #N/A #N/A 36 #N/A 36.000
5 36 Trayveon Williams RB 36 35 57 22 37.500
5 37 James Williams RB 47 20 53 31 37.750
5 38 Myles Gaskin RB 41 47 38 27 38.250
5 39 Darwin Thompson RB 39 52 33 32 39.000
6 40 Tony Pollard RB #N/A 39 #N/A #N/A 39.000
6 41 Daniel Jones QB 29 48 41 #N/A 39.333
6 42 Riley Ridley WR 30 42 49 #N/A 40.333
6 43 Ryquell Armstead RB 38 71 31 25 41.250
6 44 Will Grier QB 35 49 #N/A #N/A 42.000
6 45 Mike Weber RB 34 55 52 30 42.750
6 46 Hunter Renfrow WR 37 50 44 #N/A 43.667
6 47 Travis Homer RB 32 56 43 #N/A 43.667
7 48 Penny Hart WR #N/A #N/A 45 #N/A 45.000
7 49 Karan Higdon RB 43 38 55 #N/A 45.333
7 50 Keesean Johnson WR 46 45 46 #N/A 45.667
7 51 Damarkus Lodge WR 55 37 #N/A #N/A 46.000
8 52 Darius Slayton WR #N/A #N/A 48 #N/A 48.000
8 53 Emanuel Hall WR 66 33 75 20 48.500
8 54 Qadree Ollison RB 74 44 34 45 49.250
8 55 Elijah Holyfield RB 42 51 59 46 49.500
8 56 David Sills WR 50 34 66 #N/A 50.000
8 57 Jakobi Myers WR #N/A #N/A 51 #N/A 51.000
8 58 Alex Barnes RB 80 40 68 24 53.000
8 59 Devine Ozigbo RB 59 53 50 #N/A 54.000
8 60 Jarrett Stidham QB 40 68 #N/A #N/A 54.000
8 61 Preston Williams WR 70 65 47 34 54.000
8 62 Jordan Scarlett RB 51 57 58 #N/A 55.333
8 63 Emmanuel Butler WR #N/A 58 73 37 56.000
8 64 Greg Dortch WR 56 60 70 38 56.000
8 65 Josh Oliver TE 48 64 #N/A #N/A 56.000
8 66 Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR 65 46 81 33 56.250
8 67 Dexter Williams RB 52 63 54 #N/A 56.333
8 68 Foster Moreau TE 57 74 42 #N/A 57.667
8 69 Ryan Finley QB 58 59 #N/A #N/A 58.500
9 70 Dawson Knox TE #N/A 84 37 #N/A 60.500
9 71 Ashton Dulin WR 49 77 76 41 60.750
9 72 Olamide Zaccheaus RB #N/A #N/A 61 #N/A 61.000
9 73 Anthony Johnson WR 61 78 72 36 61.750
9 74 Travis Fulgham WR #N/A #N/A 62 #N/A 62.000
9 75 Gardner Minshew QB 53 73 #N/A #N/A 63.000
9 76 Caleb Wilson TE 77 61 71 44 63.250
9 77 Antoine Wesley WR 64 62 65 #N/A 63.667
9 78 Dillon Mitchell WR 62 66 64 #N/A 64.000
9 79 Gary Jennings WR 72 69 56 #N/A 65.667
9 80 Keelan Doss WR 79 85 63 43 67.500
9 81 Tyre Brady WR 60 83 80 47 67.500
9 82 Stanley Morgan Jr. WR 63 80 60 #N/A 67.667
9 83 LJ Scott RB #N/A 54 84 #N/A 69.000
9 84 Jalin Moore RB #N/A 70 #N/A #N/A 70.000
9 85 Terry Godwin WR #N/A 67 74 #N/A 70.500
9 86 Kaden Smith TE 73 72 67 #N/A 70.667
9 87 Tyree Jackson QB 71 79 #N/A #N/A 75.000
9 88 Ty Johnson RB #N/A 75 #N/A #N/A 75.000
9 89 Nick Brossette RB 67 #N/A 85 #N/A 76.000
10 90 C.J. Conrad TE #N/A 76 #N/A #N/A 76.000
10 91 Anthony Ratliff-Williams WR #N/A #N/A 77 #N/A 77.000
10 92 Isaac Nuata TE #N/A #N/A 78 #N/A 78.000
10 93 Jamal Custis WR #N/A #N/A 79 #N/A 79.000
10 94 Trevon Wesco TE 69 91 #N/A #N/A 80.000
10 95 Drew Sample TE 75 86 #N/A #N/A 80.500
10 96 Brett Rypien QB 68 93 #N/A #N/A 80.500
10 97 Easton Stick QB #N/A 81 #N/A #N/A 81.000
10 98 Dax Raymond TE #N/A 94 69 #N/A 81.500
10 99 Cody Thompson WR #N/A #N/A 82 #N/A 82.000
10 100 Isaac Nauta TE #N/A 82 #N/A #N/A 82.000
10 101 Damarea Crockett RB 76 89 #N/A #N/A 82.500
10 102 Ryan Davis WR #N/A #N/A 83 #N/A 83.000
10 103 Kerrith Whyte RB 78 88 #N/A #N/A 83.000
10 104 Alize Mack TE #N/A 87 #N/A #N/A 87.000
10 105 Clayton Thorson QB #N/A 90 #N/A #N/A 90.000
10 106 Darrin Hall RB #N/A 92 #N/A #N/A 92.000
10 107 Wes Hills RB #N/A 95 #N/A #N/A 95.000

 

Mainstays of the First Round

Taking a look at the rankings, you may see some familiar names that we have been talking about in the months leading up to the draft. Currently, we have Harry holding down the top spot followed by Jacobs. Both found themselves in very friendly fantasy landing spots, but in my eyes I see Jacobs providing more value to owners. The workload will be there for him to take advantage of as the centerpiece of a revamped Raiders run game. He should be viewed as a low-end RB2 in redraft formats, but certainly a valuable player in dynasty setups.

As for Harry, I am a big fan, but he now finds himself in a crowded receiver room with the Patriots. The targets will be inconsistent early on making him a tough player to project over the first couple of years. But once Tom Brady hangs up his cleats, the fact that the team has no succession plan in place could also hinder his value. But the talent will find a way, making him one of the top picks among these rookies.

Rounding out players among the Top 12, we see some players that have been moving up and down the rankings all offseason. Miles Sanders and Parris Campbell each made steady inclines in perception among those in the industry and now could be in positions to make some noise early in their careers. Sanders, with the Eagles, could work his way into the starting RB role and be a mid-round steal in redraft formats. Campbell was selected to the Colts and will fight for targets with Devin Funchess and Eric Ebron behind T.Y. Hilton. He has the talent to become the starter opposite of Hilton, putting him in the discussion as a WR3 in redraft leagues in 2019. Based on the landing spot, there could be the debate that he should be the second receiver off the board in rookie drafts.

Players like A.J. Brown, David Montgomery, and J.J. Arcega-Whiteside all have very high ceilings but must work towards a larger share of the offensive pie.

 

Players on the Rise

Mecole Hardman (WR, KC) - His landing spot with the Chiefs is making Hardman a highly talked about player in fantasy. With the news regarding Tyreek Hill still very murky, he could find a very high usage rate early. His skill set is somewhat similar to Hill, making the passing attack very seamless is he were to miss time. His current rank in the second round could easily increase to low-end first round value if we were given more concrete news on Hill's situation.

Deebo Samuel (WR, SF) - The ADP on Samuel in either redraft or rookie drafts is only continuing to get higher. The excitement with the 49ers offense is continuing to build and with Samuel likely playing a key role as a slot receiver only adds fuel to the flame. I like the skill-set that he brings to the league and he will be a great player to own in dynasty formats. His ceiling seems to be a high-end WR3, but I believe he actually adds more to Dante Pettis as a fantasy asset more than anything.

Devin Singletary (RB, BUF) - Although I am not the biggest fan of Singletary, you can't argue with the landing spot and his fantasy potential. Being behind LeSean McCoy (if he's still around) and Chris Ivory on the depth chart should mean that he will be given a prominent role sooner rather than later. Odds are he will never be a three-down back at this level, he could prove to be valuable in PPR formats much like a Tarik Cohen/Darren Sproles type.

Diontae Johnson (WR, PIT) - Johnson is a player that I continue to become high on. Selected by the Steelers, the resemblance in style of play to Antonio Brown is uncanny. He doesn't have the exceptional talent of Brown, but with the team's propensity of developing a secondary receiver, Johnson is very intriguing. If James Washington has trouble finding consistency in his role, Johnson could step in and become another receiver that Roethlisberger makes famous. I like him as a second-round pick in rookie drafts with WR3 potential.

Bruce Anderson (RB, TB) -Anderson is an undrafted free agent picked up by the Buccaneers. Even though the team has been talking up Ronald Jones of late, Anderson could become the David Johnson type of running back in the Arians offense. Keep an eye on him throughout the summer and track his playing time, but if he begins to nudge his way into the rotation, his ADP will rise. He's the type of back that you can afford to take chances on in rookie drafts. If you have great depth at the position, put him at the end of your bench and see how things pan out. There is a back that comes out of nowhere each year to produce and Anderson could be that guy in 2019.

 

Players Falling

Marquise Brown (WR, BAL) -Hollywood is a receiver that many are expecting big things out of at the next level, but his landing spot places restrictions on him. The Ravens offense will not set the world on fire in terms of creativity. They will be strictly run-based, limiting the targets he will see. Also, Lamar Jackson is not the most accurate QB in the league, hurting his value even more. He will be drafted in the first round in rookie drafts moving forward, but the limitations are hard to ignore. He will never be a sure-fire thing in fantasy and a headache that I would let other owners deal with.

Damien Harris (RB, NE) -The trend that you will see with the remaining falling players is also based on the landing spot. Harris going to the Patriots is the death knell to his early fantasy value. Competing in this backfield is always a struggle and one that I don't see rising from. He is the same type of back as the starter in Sony Michel and will see no targets in the passing game with the presence of James White. Harris is doomed to become an end of the bench fantasy player if not waiver fodder.

Rodney Anderson (RB, CIN) -Anderson is a player I was high on during the draft process but now finds himself behind Joe Mixon with the Bengals. Still not fully healthy, Anderson will need most of the 2019 season to get back to full speed in recovery from the injury. His skill set proves that he can become a starting RB in fantasy in the right environment, but being blocked on the depth chart is hindering to his value. Unless something happens to Mixon, Anderson is no more than a handcuff over the next few seasons.

Bryce Love (RB, WAS) - Love is a productive player from college that tested well during the offseason, which is why we saw an increase in his draft stock. But now that he is a Redskin, he finds himself behind Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson on the depth chart. He will essentially have a "redshirt" rookie season in the NFL, but his playing time moving forward is directly tied to Guice. If Guice becomes a Todd Gurley-esque fantasy player, Love will be nothing more than a waiver wire player. Nothing to get excited about.

More Fantasy Football Rookie Analysis


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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