Outfield: Points Leagues Rankings and Tiers

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Welcome to this series of analyzing our site’s points league rankings, compiled by myself and Kyle Bishop. We’re good people, you should get to know us. Today we're taking a look at our tiered outfield rankings for points leagues.

Points leagues abide by different rules, with walks and strikeouts usually being of notable importance compared to typical 5x5 leagues. It’s not as simple as that of course, but we’ll go off of ESPN’s default model. For hitters, it's one point per Total Base, Run Scored, Stolen Base, Walk and RBI, with a point deducted per strikeout. We’ve made it around the infield, so it's time to shag some flies in the outfield.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2017 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. It's already loaded up with tons of great rankings articles and draft analysis. Aside from our tiered staff rankings for every position, we also go deep on MLB prospect rankings, impact rookies for 2017, and dynasty/keeper rankings as well. Bookmark the page, and win your drafts.

 

2017 Fantasy Baseball Points Rankings: Outfield (February)

Overall
Ranking
Tier Player Name Position Nick Kyle Composite
Ranking
2 1 Mike Trout OF 2 2 2
3 1 Mookie Betts OF 3 4 3.5
4 1 Kris Bryant 3B/OF 5 3 4
15 2 Bryce Harper OF 14 16 15
17 2 Charlie Blackmon OF 16 20 18
21 2 Nelson Cruz OF 23 19 21
23 2 Trea Turner 2B/OF 20 27 23.5
24 2 J.D. Martinez OF 28 21 24.5
25 2 Starling Marte OF 29 23 26
29 3 Ryan Braun OF 31 32 31.5
31 3 Yoenis Cespedes OF 37 31 34
37 3 George Springer OF 41 35 38
39 3 Giancarlo Stanton OF 42 37 39.5
41 3 A.J. Pollock OF 32 48 40
47 3 Carlos Gonzalez OF 55 43 49
48 3 Christian Yelich OF 58 42 50
64 4 Ian Desmond OF 68 59 63.5
65 4 Justin Upton OF 67 70 68.5
66 4 Kyle Schwarber C/OF 90 49 69.5
68 4 Gregory Polanco OF 64 83 73.5
70 4 Andrew McCutchen OF 70 81 75.5
82 5 Khris Davis OF 95 75 85
83 5 Jackie Bradley OF 107 63 85
90 5 Adam Jones OF 91 89 90
95 5 Odubel Herrera OF 104 80 92
99 5 Jose Bautista OF 109 82 95.5
102 5 David Dahl OF 94 100 97
103 5 Matt Kemp OF 101 98 99.5
109 5 Stephen Piscotty OF 123 97 110
107 5 Jose Ramirez 3B/OF 116 104 110
112 6 Billy Hamilton OF 122 113 117.5
120 6 Hunter Pence OF 134 112 123
125 6 Adam Eaton OF 131 129 130
127 6 Dexter Fowler OF 128 134 131
129 6 Joc Pederson OF 158 110 134
130 6 Ben Zobrist 2B/OF 150 120 135
132 6 Kole Calhoun OF 136 136 136
143 6 Jose Peraza SS/OF 124 159 141.5
144 6 Mark Trumbo OF 144 140 142
147 6 Andrew Benintendi OF 135 153 144
148 6 Lorenzo Cain OF 164 124 144
155 6 Marcell Ozuna OF 188 119 153.5
161 6 Adam Duvall OF 170 152 161
164 6 Carlos Beltran OF 185 145 165
166 6 Michael Brantley OF 159 172 165.5
170 6 Nomar Mazara OF 194 155 174.5
186 7 Domingo Santana OF 203 175 189
189 7 Randal Grichuk OF 196 197 196.5
198 7 Michael Conforto OF 228 174 201
200 7 Carlos Gomez OF 206 198 202
204 7 Byron Buxton OF 208 202 205
205 7 Curtis Granderson OF 200 211 205.5
209 7 Matt Holliday 1B/OF 182 236 209
215 7 David Peralta OF 260 177 218.5
218 7 Yasmany Tomas OF 230 214 222
219 7 Jayson Werth OF 235 210 222.5
226 7 Melky Cabrera OF 233 224 228.5
235 8 Josh Reddick OF 205 275 240
237 8 Ender Inciarte OF 239 249 244
242 8 Jay Bruce OF 277 215 246
243 8 Cameron Maybin OF 204 290 247
246 8 Hunter Renfroe OF 252 247 249.5
247 8 Kevin Kiermaier OF 237 263 250
250 8 Shin-Soo Choo OF 226 278 252
255 8 Max Kepler OF 270 244 257
260 8 Brett Gardner OF 245 276 260.5
262 8 Jacoby Ellsbury OF 250 274 262
263 8 Hernan Perez 3B/OF 301 226 263.5
265 8 Brandon Moss OF 234 302 268
272 8 Corey Dickerson OF 269 282 275.5
275 8 Yasiel Puig OF 295 261 278
276 8 Keon Broxton OF 279 280 279.5
277 8 Jason Heyward OF 303 260 281.5
283 8 Andrew Toles OF 312 264 288
284 8 Joshua Bell 1B/OF 282 299 290.5
302 9 Alex Gordon OF 346 271 308.5
314 9 Hyun-soo Kim OF 357 279 318
319 9 Leonys Martin OF 372 270 321
320 9 Manuel Margot OF 334 309 321.5
322 9 Scott Schebler OF 347 298 322.5
324 9 Danny Valencia 1B/3B/OF 358 297 327.5
332 9 Steve Pearce 1B/2B/OF 300 372 336
333 9 Steven Souza OF 378 296 337
334 9 Michael Saunders OF 383 291 337
337 9 Roman Quinn OF 343 333 338
339 9 Jefry Marte 1B/OF 362 318 340
340 9 Kevin Pillar OF 327 354 340.5
342 9 Alex Dickerson OF 387 295 341
346 9 Tyler Naquin OF 335 356 345.5
348 9 Nick Markakis OF 391 303 347
353 9 Aaron Altherr OF 399 311 355
356 9 Jarrod Dyson OF 374 336 355
358 9 Melvin Upton Jr. OF 392 332 362
367 9 Jorge Soler OF 365 370 367.5
372 9 Mallex Smith OF 377 364 370.5
373 9 Chris Owings SS/OF 413 329 371
374 9 Travis Jankowski OF 379 366 372.5
378 9 Lonnie Chisenhall OF 388 365 376.5
379 9 Raimel Tapia OF 398 355 376.5
381 9 Robbie Grossman OF 427 334 380.5
389 9 Aaron Judge OF 395 384 389.5
394 9 Angel Pagan OF 436 353 394.5
397 9 Brandon Drury 3B/OF 409 383 396
404 10 Trayce Thompson OF 396 415 405.5
413 10 Chris Coghlan OF 444 385 414.5
414 10 Denard Span OF 382 448 415
415 10 Brandon Guyer OF 426 404 415
421 10 Ben Revere OF 401 436 418.5
422 10 Seth Smith OF 434 407 420.5
424 10 Blake Swihart C/OF 425 420 422.5
425 10 Chris Young OF 423 423
428 10 Abraham Almonte OF 420 437 428.5
437 11 Colby Rasmus OF 416 463 439.5
440 11 Andre Ethier OF 441 449 445
443 11 Mitch Haniger OF 422 471 446.5
449 11 Avisail Garcia OF 412 491 451.5
453 11 Albert Almora OF 489 418 453.5
454 11 Delino DeShields OF 421 486 453.5
461 11 Billy Burns OF 480 435 457.5
464 12 Franklin Gutierrez OF 462 #N/A 462
467 12 Michael Taylor OF 455 475 465
472 12 Jon Jay OF 442 493 467.5
473 12 Tommy Pham OF 454 481 467.5
479 12 Brock Holt 3B/OF 456 492 474
480 12 Gerardo Parra OF 458 495 476.5
487 12 Jake Smolinski OF 484 #N/A 484
488 12 Nori Aoki OF 485 #N/A 485
490 12 Coco Crisp OF 486 #N/A 486
494 12 Eddie Rosario OF 492 #N/A 492
495 12 Aaron Hicks OF 494 #N/A 494
497 12 Matt Joyce OF 496 #N/A 496

 
 

Outfield Points Rankings Analysis: The Tiers

Tier One

Mike Trout, Mookie Betts and Kris Bryant are all superstars. Trout is going to be the first hitter off the board. Even if he wasn’t talking about running more, he’d be No. 1. If you can land him, enjoy. Betts’ true breakout season led to five-category domination with a healthy 6.7% walk rate and a meager 11% strikeout rate. As a result, I’ve got him above Bryant. Bryant’s 30.6% strikeout rate in his rookie season made for a points-league ding, but he lowered that to 22% in his sophomore season and should have more room to grow.

Tier Two

Bryce Harper should have a great chance at bouncing back and delivered Tier-One worthy stats, but we can’t let him back into our hearts so easily. This is still a good look, though, as he delivered a 20-20 season in a “down year” with a sturdy 17.2% BB rate and 18.7% K rate. Even if the steals scale back a bit, the 14.3% HR/FB rate should approach the 18-20% range.

J.D. Martinez’s strong power/average combo is an established commodity, but what’s gone a bit under the radar is how he’s increased his walk rate in each season since joining Detroit in 2014 (6.3%, 8.1%, 9.5%) while lowering his swinging-strike rate (15.2%, 14.9%, 14.1%). Don’t automatically bank on further growth, but these are encouraging trends for an already-strong hitter.

Tier Three

This tier houses a bunch of bats that are decent OF1s and incredible OF2 types, with Yoenis Cespedes making for a notable get. His power pace somehow grew from 2015’s lovely 35-homer campaign (which he did in 676 plate appearances versus 2016’s 31 homers in only 543 PAs) alongside a walk rate that shot up from 4.9% to 9.4%. He said he worked on strengthening his legs more to avoid lower-body injuries in 2017, so feel free to put a little checkmark next to his name on draft boards.

George Springer is a name that elicits a wide range of reactions, from the intrigue of those still waiting for the true breakout to the scoffs from owners who were let down last season. The power/speed combo had looked so promising heading into 2016, he had even improved his average from .231 to .276! It slipped back to .261 last season and he notably went a putrid 9-for-19 on the basepaths. He still hit 29 homers and scored 116 runs from the top of the order, but it’s concerning to have seen the speed threat neutralized. He still walks at a clip over 11% so it’s not about getting on base, it’s just a matter of whether he can be productive or not. If he approaches 700-750 PAs again though, he should return a profit no matter what.

Tier Four

We’ve got Ian Desmond in Coors Field, Justin Upton coming off of yet another streaky season, Kyle Schwarber returning to full game action as a leadoff hitter, and two Pittsburgh outfielders trending in opposite directions. Gregory Polanco is a rising 25-year-old who was on a tear (.299/.377/.515 slash in first three months of ’16) before injuries bogged down his second half, while Andrew McCutchen saw his runs, RBIs, steals and average all dip (notably his average, from .292 to .256) last season. At least Cutch’s AVG went from the .240s to the .280s over the final two months, but he still makes for someone else’s gamble to take in my eyes. Give me El Coffee at full strength easily, no decaf here.

Tier Five

Here we find vaunted sluggers such as Khris Davis and Jose Bautista, but we’ll take a looksee at the unheralded Matt Kemp here. Atlanta’s big bat (no, not Freddie Freeman) blasted 35 homers with 108 RBIs last season and apparently entered Spring Training having put on some more muscle over the offseason. While his walk rate won’t inspire anyone (5.4% last season), the power in an improving Bravos’ lineup is worth buying into. Odubel Herrera is also worth buying with his 15/25 bat and improving plate discipline metrics. Philadelphia is another offense that is starting to grow into its next generation.

The Rest of the Field

Outfield is deep this season. Kole Calhoun is rarely anyone’s first thought, but he should be in for a stronger 2017 after a poor 9.4% HR/FB rate in 2016. He had averaged a mark of around 14.3% prior to that, so his age-29 season could yield 25 homers with a walk rate around 10%. Matt Holliday just blasted an opposite-field Spring Training homer as I was writing this piece, which should excite anyone with a pulse (sorry, fantasy zombies) considering he now gets to take advantage of Yankee Stadium’s short porch. Corey Dickerson has launched 24 rockets in each of his last two healthy seasons, but his .245 average was excessive even for a post-Coors Field comedown. He lost 25 pounds over the offseason and says his swing feels more comfortable, so count me in as someone buying into a bounceback.

 



2017 Fantasy Baseball Rankings