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Week 20 Waiver Wire: Starting Pitchers

And just like that, there are only seven weeks left in the regular season. What a time to be alive. Many of you are locked into dogfights for those precious playoff spots, and others are trying to fight through the rotisserie category jungle as the dog days of summer really hit. There are more "dog" phrases than I realized existed.

Anyway, we're here to check in on plenty of names that should be available in many leagues, as we try to lower the bar here to hone in on names that are probably either getting streamed (and thus available for stealing) or ignored entirely. Let's get to the good stuff.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including Draft Kit + DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through October. Premium DFS lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more - seven days a week. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

 

Starting Pitcher Waiver Wire Targets:

Tom Koehler (MIA, SP) – 37% Owned – He’s had an up and down season, but is currently in the midst of an “up”. He’s 3-0 with four straight quality starts since July 21, and will face the White Sox on Aug. 14 before a road start against the Pirates.

Dan Straily (CIN, SP) – 37% Owned – Straily saw his streak of seven straight quality starts end on Aug. 13 after he only lasted 5 1/3 innings against the Brewers, though he still got the victory. He hasn’t lost since July 8, going 4-0 in the meantime and will take on the Marlins at home on Aug. 18 next. He’s shown his range of outcomes to be a lot safer than once thought.

James Paxton (SEA, SP) –26% Owned – Paxton felt good after a bullpen session on Aug. 13 and will hopefully be able to make his next scheduled start on Aug. 16 against the Angels. The issue here is some swelling in his elbow, the result of taking a comebacker to the arm which spoiled his bid for a complete-game shutout in his last start (also against the Angels). Even if he doesn’t end up facing the Angels again, he makes for a high-upside start.

Luis Severino (NYY, SP) – 23% Owned – Severino was yo-yoed down to the Minors briefly, but was recalled on Aug. 12 and will make an Aug. 14 start against the Rays at home before his next turn sees him take on the Angels on the road. His latest start against Boston did not go so well, but that is a terrible matchup for any pitcher and should not have been leaned on by fantasy owners. The Rays and Angels make for much nicer draws, and hopefully he’ll look like the pitcher who struck out 10 in his 8 1/3 innings of work prior to the Boston start.

Robbie Ray (ARI, SP) – 16% Owned – Hilariously enough, one of Ray’s best starts comes with his lowest strikeout total. He tossed seven scoreless innings against the Mets, but only struck out four after ringing up 30(!) in his previous three starts. While he has yet to show any real semblance of consistency, his upside is fantastic for a rematch against the Mets on Aug. 15.

Homer Bailey (CIN, SP) – 12% Owned – He won his first start, got blown up in his second start, and then threw a gem in his most recent outing. On Aug. 12 he struck out 11 Brewers as he twirled six shutout innings, showing fantasy owners that his tremendous upside is still present in that arm of his. He’ll face the Marlins at home on Aug. 17 next, making for a decent option in his first home start since returning.

Brett Anderson (LAD, SP) – 11% Owned – At the time of this writing, Anderson is poised to make his first start of 2016 on Aug. 14. Assuming all goes well, he’ll then line up to face the Reds in Cincinnati later in the week in a plus-matchup. He posted a solid 11:1 K/BB ratio across three rehab starts, which is a great signal that he’s ready to perform again with his control under him. Deep leaguers can fire him up, but most will want to bench him for his first start back and go from there.

Ryan Vogelsong (PIT, SP) – 11% Owned – Okay, don’t get too excited here, but Vogey has posted a solid 0.75 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in two quality starts since being reactivated on Aug. 4. His opponents have been the Braves and the Padres so he hasn’t been tested that much yet, but at least he has performed well in outings where he had favorable matchups. His 1.80 FIP across the two starts backs this up as he heads into battle with former team, the Giants, on Aug. 15 in San Francisco. Stream at your own risk, but at least he looks sharp right now.

Sean Manaea (OAK, SP) – 10% Owned – Manaea turned in his first victory since June 29 in a start against the Mariners on Aug. 12, as the rookie went nearly a month and a half without a notch in the victory column. That’s not to say he hasn’t been improved though, as he’s posted a 2.84 ERA across his last seven outings with five quality starts nestled in there. He’ll face a tough Rangers team on the road on Aug. 17 next.

Bud Norris (LAD, SP) – 10% Owned – Remember him? The hope here for LA is that he can come back at some point during the week of Aug. 15 after an ideally successful rehab start on Aug. 14, especially with Brandon McCarthy likely heading to the DL. Since he returned to being a starter on June 4 for Atlanta, he has posted a stellar 3.24 ERA (3.03 FIP, 3.43 SIERA) alongside a stellar 61:16 K/BB ratio. If he was dropped in your league, consider scooping the 31-year-old.

Jake Thompson (PHI, SP) – 7% Owned – It isn’t the most glamorous decision, relying on a rookie who plays for a team that doesn’t win a lot, but that’s what 7% ownership usually gets you. Thompson sealed his first Major League victory by allowing only two hits and three walks alongside six strikeouts in five innings against the Rockies. This is encouraging after a rough first start, but the 22-year-old did post a 2.50 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 129 2/3 Triple-A innings before the promotion, so deep-league streamers could do worse. He’ll face the Dodgers at home next on Aug. 17.

Matt Boyd (DET, SP) – 5% Owned - Boyd deserves more love, plain and simple. Now that Miguel Gonzalez is on the shelf, he is officially my favorite <10% owned option. Boyd just dominated the Rangers on Aug. 13, tossing seven scoreless innings to improve to 4-0 in his six starts since being recalled on July 9. While he’s not a recommended start for his next outing (vs. BOS on Aug. 18), he’s certainly done more than enough to earn a roster spot in deep formats. Those in 12-team mixed leagues should consider him for streaming down the stretch.

Braden Shipley (ARI, SP) – 5% Owned – Shipley had a rough first start, but has gone 2-0 in his three starts since (all of which were quality). He just destroyed the Mets with seven shutout frames on Aug. 11, striking out seven along the way. He’ll do battle with the Mets again on Aug. 16 at home, making him a nice streamer yet again. Fantasy owners should be aware that Arizona isn’t going to let the rookie go near 100 pitches though.

Miguel Gonzalez (CWS, SP) – 3% Owned – Don’t you, forget about me. He struck out two in a scoreless first inning before having to be removed with a right groin strain, rudely snapping his quality start streak at seven. Hopefully he can come back for the fantasy playoffs and finally get some recognition for his efforts!

 

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