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NBA Wednesday is back and we've been #blessed with a 10-game slate that tips off at 7:00 EST. There aren't really any marquee matchups despite the number of teams in play, but there are a few games to target for stacking purposes. As of right now, a few point total projections haven't been listed in Vegas yet, but three games to target are Portland at Houston (209), Dallas at Boston (205) and New Orleans at Oklahoma City (213). Five of the top eight teams in pace factor are also in play Wednesday, starting with Phoenix, Boston, Oklahoma City, Houston and New Orleans in that order.
One other thing to be mindful of tonight are teams on the second leg of a back-to-back. Minnesota, Charlotte, New Orleans, Denver, Brooklyn and Atlanta all fall into that category.
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FanDuel DFS Point Guard Picks
Russell Westbrook (PG, OKC) - $11,500
As much as I'd like to get all cute and fade Westbrook while suggesting you spend your dollars elsewhere in the point guard slot, I just can't do it. This may seem crazy, but Westbrook could honestly be a bargain tonight, even with the price tag north of 11K. Westbrook has an incredibly high floor with his usage rate over 30 and an ever higher ceiling his ability to triple-double anytime he's on the floor. What makes this play even more appealing is the fact that Westbrook's usage rate is 8 points higher when Kevin Durant isn't playing and to boot, this game features an incredibly high over/under (213). There's no just chance the New Orleans defense slows his roll.
Also consider: Isaiah Thomas (PG, BOS) - $7,500
Value Play: Dennis Schroder (PG, ATL) - $4,800
FanDuel DFS Shooting Guard Picks
CJ McCollum (SG, POR) - $6,400
I like CJ tonight not only because of the attractive price tag, but also because he has an incredibly high ceiling in what should be a fast-paced, high scoring game against a team that doesn't defend guards well. He's averaging just over 28 FanDuel points per night and considering the matchup and pace, he's a strong bet to exceed his implied value. The fact he plays 35+ minutes a night and has a usage rate above 22 makes him a solid cash game play, as well.
Also consider: Eric Bledsoe (SG, PHX) - $8,400
Value Play: Rodney Hood (SG, UTA) - $4,600
FanDuel DFS Small Forward Picks
Paul George (SF, IND) - $9,200
My projection model isn't floored with George tonight, but I can't help but think he has perhaps the highest ceiling of his small forward counterparts tonight. He has been incredibly undervalued thus far in price and has exceeded his salary implied value a whopping 80% of the time this season. His 32.8 usage rate makes him a fine cash game play, too.
Al-Farouq Aminu (SF, POR) - $5,600
Going to continue the trend here of targeting guards and wings when facing the Rockets. His point totals have dipped down a bit over his last two games, but the teams he faced were pretty impressive defensively (San Antonio) and also play at a slower pace (Charlotte). I'm hoping this can keep his ownership percentage low with his salary dipping, a matchup against a team that runs but doesn't defend well, and the fact he's on the floor 30+ minutes a night, I think he provides great value at small forward this evening.
Value Play: Jae Crowder (SF, BOS) - $5,100
FanDuel DFS Power Forward Picks
Jared Sullinger (PF, BOS) - $5,900
Without question, Sullinger is my favorite field goal attempt independent big man. What I mean by that is he doesn't require a lot of shot attempts (or field goals made) to exceed or pass his value in FanDuel points. The former Buckeye is a monster around the rim, pulling down double-digit rebounds in four of his last five games. He also seems to be thriving as a healthy piece of Brad Stevens' rotation and he faces a team tonight in Dallas that defends big men very poorly.
Also consider: Terrence Jones (PF, HOU) - $5,900
Value Play: Marvin Williams (PF, CHR) - $5,200
FanDuel DFS Center Picks
Karl-Anthony Towns (C, MIN) - $6,800
Mr. Towns is on a bit of a relative cold streak, but he's still putting up 25+ FanDuel points a night. Now that his price has dropped a bit and he faces an Orlando team that doesn't defend centers well, I really like him in this spot. One thing to keep an eye on for tonight is Ricky Rubio's health, as KAT's FanDuel points per game are roughly four points higher when Rubio plays versus when he sits.
Value Play: Mason Plumlee (C, POR) - $5,400
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