RADIO
Daily fantasy basketball happens to be one of the most predictable fantasy sports that there is. Players generally get the same amount of minutes per game, and they can usually be expected to score, rebound, and assist at around the same ratio.
This makes finding value plays fairly easy. I will provide a top play and a value play at the guard and forward positions. Center is a position that I never really try to find a cheap option at. Pay up at the center position.
Due to this, I'll only provide a top option there. Let's get down to it. Here are my daily fantasy basketball picks for November 14th, 2015.
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FanDuel Top Guard Pick
John Wall (vs ORL, $8,900)
John Wall is the best point guard option on the board tonight against the Orlando Magic, but it is definitely close. Stephen Curry gets a great matchup against the Brooklyn Nets, and he can go for 60 plus every time he steps on the court, especially in an easy matchup. Also, Brandon Knight is a very risky, but solid, option as well against the Denver Nuggets. In his last game, he scored over 40. However, Wall gets a great matchup against Elfrid Peyton and the Orlando Magic. Peyton turns the ball over a lot, so he will be adding to John Wall's fantasy production. Wall is the most likely of the three top options to hit value because he is consistent and his price is low-ish.
FanDuel Value Guard Pick
Patty Mills (vs PHI, $3,200)
Patty Mills gets a great matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers tonight, and he could see some extra minutes in a blowout. Regardless of a blowout, Mills makes for a solid tournaments play, as he has scored around 30 fantasy points in two of his last four games. However, he also scores in the single digits from time to time. However, if the Spurs dominate the 76ers, Mills could see 10 or so extra minutes tonight, which could allow him to score around 30-40 fantasy points tonight, which would be ridiculous for his price tag. Not a lot of fantasy owners are going to have Mills on their mind, so this could be the play that wins you the big tournament.
FanDuel Top Forward Pick
Kevin Love (at MIL, $7,900)
Kevin Love makes for a great tournament play tonight against the Milwaukee Bucks. As with the point guard position, the Bucks struggle to play defense against the power forward position. Kevin Love should be avoided in cash games because of his ability to disappear in games, as he showed against the New York Knicks. The Cleveland Cavaliers have way too many scoring options for Kevin Love to be a consistent fantasy producer. He is averaging 40 fantasy points per game so far this season, but that is a lot of 50 plus fantasy point games and a lot of under 30 fantasy point games. Love should be able to pick apart the Bucks' defense tonight and have one of his better games.
FanDuel Value Forward Pick
Clint Capela (vs DAL, $4,800)
Dwight Howard played last night, even though he didn't play well. That means he likely will not be playing tonight against the Dallas Mavericks in a back-to-back. He has been sitting out back-to-backs all season long, and that shouldn't change. Clint Capela should see a ton of extra minutes with Howard out, and he should easily hit at least 20 fantasy points. The Dallas Mavericks are not the best defensive team in the league against the bigs, as they tend to score more than block, so Capela has an edge there as well. Basketball is all about finding value, and Capela is definitely valuable tonight.
FanDuel Top Center Pick
Tim Duncan (vs PHI, $6,000)
Tim Duncan can now be used at the center position on DraftKings, which means that he is a great option tonight against the Philadelphia 76ers. Duncan is rather consistent, but he also has great upside. He has already scored over 30 fantasy points once this season and over 40 once this season. He is only playing around 20 minutes per game, so that is pretty impressive. He does need 30 to hit value, but I'm confident that he can do that tonight against the terrible 76ers' defense. I would not trust Duncan in cash games, but with his upside, he is great for tournaments.
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